Real Investment Advice

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Inflation Risk Is Subsiding Rapidly

6 days ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Inflation risk has been a significant topic of discussion in the mainstream media for the last few years. Such is unsurprising given that inflation spiked following the pandemic in 2020 as consumer spending (demand) was shot into overdrive from stimulus payments and production (supply) was shuttered. To understand why that occurred, we need to revisit “Economics 101.” “In economics, inflation is a general increase in the prices of goods and services.
Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring - Is It A Warning?

1 week ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Basis Trade Sends Yields Soaring How We Are Trading It Research Report – Stock Market As Recession Indicator Youtube – Before The Bell Market Statistics Stock Screens Portfolio Trades This Week Last week, we noted that the market was not expecting retaliation from China. “Rather than coming to the table to negotiate, China responded with a reciprocal 34% tariff on the U.S. plus export controls on rare earth metals needed for technological production.
The Market Crash - Hope In The Fear

2 weeks ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Last week, we noted that “nothing good happens below the 200-DMA,” and the tariff-induced market crash this past week confirmed that statement. However, we also noted that over the last 30 years, previous failures at the 200-DMA have also often been buying opportunities. That is unless some “event” of magnitude creates a massive shift in analysts’ estimates.
The "Liberation Day" Tariffs Crash The Market

2 weeks ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

The Liberation Day Tariffs Crash The Market How We Are Trading It Research Report – Stock Market As Recession Indicator Youtube – Before The Bell Market Statistics Stock Screens Portfolio Trades This Week Last week, we noted that it would not be uncommon for the market to retest recent lows. That is what happened on Monday morning before rallying sharply off that level.
The Stock Market Warning Of A Recession?

2 weeks ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

A Wall Street axiom states that the stock markets lead the economy by about six months. While not a perfect predictor, the stock market reacts to investor expectations about future corporate earnings, economic activity, interest rates, and inflation. When sentiment shifts due to anticipated weakness in any of these areas, equity prices often decline, reflecting a reassessment of future growth.
Failure At The 200-DMA - Correction Continues

3 weeks ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

In last week’s post, “Is the correction over?” we wrote about the potential for a rally back to the 200-DMA. However, the failure of that test increased short-term concerns. As we noted in that post, there were early indications of buyers returning to the market. To wit: “The chart below has four subpanels. The first is a simple price momentum oscillator. This measure is currently deeply oversold after the recent bout of selling and, like the MACD, is beginning to turn higher.
Sellable Rally Or "Buy The Dip"

3 weeks ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Sellable Rally Or Buy The Dip How We Are Trading It Research Report – Stagflation Or Media Scare Youtube – Before The Bell Market Statistics Stock Screens Portfolio Trades This Week Last week, we noted that the market performance, while distressing as of late, has been well within regular correctionary market cycles from a historical perspective.
Is The Correction Over?

1 month ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Is The Correction Over? How We Are Trading It Research Report – Recession Risk Not As High As Believed Youtube – Before The Bell Market Statistics Stock Screens Portfolio Trades This Week Last week, we noted that the market performance, while distressing as of late, has been well within regular correctionary market cycles from a historical perspective.
Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment

1 month ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

It has been an interesting correction. The average retail investor was “buying the dip” despite having an extremely bearish outlook.
Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge

1 month ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears EmergeHow We Are Trading ItResearch Report – The Impact Of StupidityYoutube – Before The BellMarket StatisticsStock ScreensPortfolio Trades This WeekLast week, we discussed that the market continues to track Trump’s first Presidential term as he launched a trade war with China.