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Earnings Revision Shows Sharp Decline

6 days ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Negative Earnings Revision Shows Sharp Decline How We Are Trading It Research Report – Employment Data Confirms Economy Is Slowing YouTube – Before The Bell Market Statistics Stock Screens Portfolio Trades This Week Last week, we discussed that while the market improved sharply, the underlying economic data continues to decline steadily. However, given that the data was not recessionary, the market rallied and took out some key resistance levels.
Economic Decline Gains Momentum

1 week ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Economic Decline Gains Momentum How We Are Trading It Research Report – Investing Awards You Never Receive YouTube – Before The Bell Market Statistics Stock Screens Portfolio Trades This Week Last week, we discussed that the market backdrop improved markedly following commentary from the White House that eased concerns about tariffs. To wit: “The market rallied above the 20-DMA this past week as investors found some “silver linings” to the ongoing tariff dispute.
The Awards You Never Get When Investing

2 weeks ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

In investing, success is often judged by numbers—returns on investment, percentage gains, and the ability to outperform benchmarks like the S&P 500. However, some investors frequently pursue a peculiar set of “awards” without realizing the pitfalls they embody. These unspoken goals, while tempting, rarely lead to sustainable investment success. If there were awards for some of these common but ill-advised behaviors, they would likely cause more harm than good.
Correction Continues - The Value Of Risk Management

2 weeks ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Despite the recent rally, the correction continues. While wanting to “buy the dip” is tempting, there has been enough technical damage to warrant remaining cautious in the near term. As we have discussed, managing risk requires discipline and the emotional ability to navigate more volatile markets until a more straightforward path for risk-taking emerges.
Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility

2 weeks ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

How Being Like Spock Can Help You Win The Investing Game How We Are Trading It Research Report – Speculator Vs Investor YouTube – Before The Bell Market Statistics Stock Screens Portfolio Trades This Week Last week, we discussed the issue with the spat between President Trump and the Federal Reserve chairman, Jerome Powell. As noted then: “While the markets await the next Federal Reserve meeting, the uncertainty over monetary policy weighs on markets as much as the uncertainty about tariffs.
Inflation Risk Is Subsiding Rapidly

4 weeks ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Inflation risk has been a significant topic of discussion in the mainstream media for the last few years. Such is unsurprising given that inflation spiked following the pandemic in 2020 as consumer spending (demand) was shot into overdrive from stimulus payments and production (supply) was shuttered. To understand why that occurred, we need to revisit “Economics 101.” “In economics, inflation is a general increase in the prices of goods and services.
Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring - Is It A Warning?

1 month ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Basis Trade Sends Yields Soaring How We Are Trading It Research Report – Stock Market As Recession Indicator Youtube – Before The Bell Market Statistics Stock Screens Portfolio Trades This Week Last week, we noted that the market was not expecting retaliation from China. “Rather than coming to the table to negotiate, China responded with a reciprocal 34% tariff on the U.S. plus export controls on rare earth metals needed for technological production.
The Market Crash - Hope In The Fear

1 month ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

Last week, we noted that “nothing good happens below the 200-DMA,” and the tariff-induced market crash this past week confirmed that statement. However, we also noted that over the last 30 years, previous failures at the 200-DMA have also often been buying opportunities. That is unless some “event” of magnitude creates a massive shift in analysts’ estimates.
The "Liberation Day" Tariffs Crash The Market

1 month ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

The Liberation Day Tariffs Crash The Market How We Are Trading It Research Report – Stock Market As Recession Indicator Youtube – Before The Bell Market Statistics Stock Screens Portfolio Trades This Week Last week, we noted that it would not be uncommon for the market to retest recent lows. That is what happened on Monday morning before rallying sharply off that level.
The Stock Market Warning Of A Recession?

1 month ago | realinvestmentadvice.com | Lance Roberts

A Wall Street axiom states that the stock markets lead the economy by about six months. While not a perfect predictor, the stock market reacts to investor expectations about future corporate earnings, economic activity, interest rates, and inflation. When sentiment shifts due to anticipated weakness in any of these areas, equity prices often decline, reflecting a reassessment of future growth.