Alex Valadez

California

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The Hot Corner: Plays for Monday, August 14th

Aug 14, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

Tough week overall but the turn around has begun at the tail end of the week. Back to the lab!Logan Gilbert U5.5 Ks +100*KC avg 7.33 Ks in L3*KC strikes out 19.5% vs RHP in L30*3 strikeout targetsGilbert has been absolutely dealing as of late but doesn’t hit over 6 unless its one of the weaker lineups. Kansas City has become one of the better teams at making contact and I like that to continue. Take the under with confidence.
The Hot Corner: Plays for Friday, August 11th

Aug 11, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

Struggles continue. Back to the lab we go!Aaron Civale U4.5 Ks +100*CLE avg 7.67 Ks in L3*CLE strikes out 17.4% vs RHP in L30*2 strikeout targetsNarrative aside I like the under here with Civale facing his former club. Guardians are some of the best contact lineups and I like it to continue. He struggled to finish off Tiger batters and Guardians won’t be easier.
The Hot Corner: Plays for Thursday, August 10th

Aug 10, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

Struggles continue – adjusting the model and getting back to the lab. Kenta Maeda O6.5 Ks -137*DET strikes out 2nd most in L3 (11.67)*DET strikes out 24.5% vs RHP in L30*4 strikeout targetsMaeda has been a strikeout artist this season. Maeda’s away splits are superior and this Detroit lineup yielded 12 Ks yesterday. Trust the sub 2 ERA man over last two months.
The Hot Corner: Plays for Wednesday, August 9th

Aug 9, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

Tough start to the week. Back to the lab we go!Bailey Ober O5.5 Ks -104*DET strikes out 23.8% vs RHP in L30*DET strike out 2nd most in L3 (12.33)*5 strikeout targetsOber had 8 Ks vs Detroit in his only other matchup this season and as it stands it is another favorable matchup.
The Hot Corner: Plays for Tuesday, August 8th

Aug 8, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

Horrible two week stretch. Back to the lab we go!Braxton Garrett O5.5 Ks -141*CIN strikes out 23.5% vs LHP in L30*CIN strikes out 3rd most in L3 (12)*5 strikeout targetsGarrett has had quite a rough July where most of his starts are at home – worse side of his splits. He now gets the Reds who have been one of biggest free swingers team in the league. I have faith that Garrett gets it right against Cincy – take the over with confidence.
The Hot Corner: Plays for Friday, August 4th

Aug 4, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

The hook was not kind to us these last two days. Back to the lab we go!Graham Ashcraft U3.5 Ks +118*WAS strikes out 18.5% vs RHP in L30*WAS avg 7.33 Ks in L3*2 strikeout targetsAshcraft has not been a strikeout pitcher this season and now gets the Nationals who earlier in the season struck out 3 over 7 innings. With an inflated game total and his home splits having a higher ERA & opponent batting average. It will be a sweat but it is the best move.
The Hot Corner: Plays for Thursday, August 3rd

Aug 3, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

Was a strikeout away from the parlay cash. Getting back on track – back to the lab we go!Max Scherzer O7.5 Ks -104*CWS strikes out 24.1% vs RHP in L30*CWS strike out 2nd most in L3*6 strikeout targetsScherzer first start for his new club and gets the Sox lineup who has been striking out at 2nd highest rate in L3. Scherzer has been tapping out at 7 Ks in July but with this lineup he should clear that with ease.
The Hot Corner: Plays for Tuesday, August 1st

Aug 1, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

Not a great 7 days for me but that comes with the territory. Looking at trends and adjusting the model. Back to the lab we go!Zach Eflin O5.5 Ks +118*NYY has 2nd most Ks in L3 (12)*NYY strikeout 23.3% vs RHP in L30*5 strikeout targets Eflin has had a rough July but he gets the Yankees who have been striking out at an increasing rate. In an earlier start against New York he had 9 Ks. Eflin bounce back incoming.
The Hot Corner: Plays for Monday, July 31st

Jul 31, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

Absolute poor performance last week but after 3 strong weeks it comes with the territory. I have to be better. Back to the lab!Corbin Burnes U5.5 Hits Allowed -137Burnes has been dominant in the month of July. Combo that with his opponent batting average being sub .180 in away games and we have a smash under. Washington hasn’t been hot offensively as of late and it doesn’t look like the time to expect it. Trust the under.
The Hot Corner: Plays for Saturday, July 29th

Jul 29, 2023 | wyexpect.com | Alex Valadez

Johnny Cueto O4.5 Ks -104 (1.04U)*DET strikes out 24.3% vs RHP in L30*DET avg 8 Ks in L3* 5 strikeout targetsThis will be Cueto’s 4th appearance this season and after his strong start vs the Rockies I feel confident he can take care of business against the Tigers. Be sure to see our other plays posted on Twitter @WYExpectFollow me on Action to get updates the moment I place my bets: @_alexvaladezPlease gamble responsibly, best of luck!