Andrés Padilla

May 21, 2024 | research.rabobank.com | Stephen Rannekleiv |Andrés Padilla |Jim Watson |Bourcard Nesin

The global orange juice industry is in crisis. The Florida industry has all but disappeared, and Brazilian groves are plagued by disease, rising costs, and unfavorable growing conditions, leaving global orange juice supplies at their lowest point in decades. Prices are skyrocketing, consumer demand has been falling for years, and operators across the value chain are left wondering what’s next.

Apr 30, 2024 | finance.yahoo.com | Andrés Padilla

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Apr 29, 2024 | research.rabobank.com | Andrés Padilla

High global orange juice prices reflect expectations for ongoing supply constraints, as a smaller harvest (250m to 270m boxes) looks likely in Brazil for 2024/25. This would mean a decline of around 15%, compared to the 305m boxes estimated for 2023/24. Fruit prices have continued to surge with limited supply, resulting in rising producer costs for juice companies and limited discounts for buyers.

Feb 5, 2024 | research.rabobank.com | Andrés Padilla |Bruno Fonseca

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Jan 31, 2024 | research.rabobank.com | Andrés Padilla

As coffee retail sales slow, how will the US market adapt in 2017? Over the past five years, coffee retail sales in the US have grown at a healthy rate. IRI data shows that total dollar sales advanced at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.6% from 2012 to 2016: a very healthy expansion for a developed market. The rapid rise of the single-cup category transformed coffee retail sales in America.