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Dec 10, 2024 | 
tandfonline.com | Andrew Selth
Click to increase image sizeClick to decrease image sizeDisclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s). Notes1. INSCOM, “Directorate of Defence Services Intelligence (DDSI) Influence in Burma.”2. Selth, The Making of an Intelligence State. 3. Selth, Secrets and Power in Myanmar. 4. Selth, Burma’s Intelligence Apparatus (1997). 5. Selth, “SLORC’s ‘Intel-Net’: Burma’s Intelligence Apparatus”, 4-18. 6. Selth, “Burma’s Intelligence Apparatus” (1998), 33-70. 7.
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Jun 10, 2024 | 
lowyinstitute.org | Andrew Selth
We hear a lot these days about the “trust deficit” and “the loss of social capital”. Thanks to a succession of royal commissions, parliamentary inquiries, media investigations and revelations by whistle blowers, many Australians have lost confidence in their most cherished institutions. Faith in politicians, public servants, bankers, churchmen and other traditional authority figures is said to be at an all-time low. This phenomenon has real world consequences.
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Mar 11, 2024 | 
lowyinstitute.org | Andrew Selth
If asked to present a strategic analysis of Myanmar, three years after the 2021 coup, an observer could start by telling a parable, recounting a couple of stories, and then asking a few key questions. It would not cover all the bases, least of all explain the complex crisis that has been unfolding in the country, but such an approach would highlight one aspect of the civil war that so far has received little serious attention. First, the parable.
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Jan 21, 2024 | 
channelnewsasia.com | Andrew Selth
Commentary The international community has made some helpful gestures but remained at arm’s length. The people of Myanmar seem destined to fend for themselves, says this professor at Griffith University. New: You can now listen to articles. Sorry, the audio is unavailable right now. Please try again later.
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Jan 16, 2024 | 
lowyinstitute.org | Andrew Selth
On 1 February, it will be three years since Myanmar’s armed forces (known as the Tatmadaw) rejected the National League for Democracy’s 2020 landslide election victory and seized power. The country soon descended into a bitter and costly civil war that shows no signs of ending. Both sides have vowed to fight on until they achieve an outright military victory.
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Jan 7, 2024 | 
eastasiaforum.org | Allison Alexy |Edward Aspinall |Emma Whitmyer |Andrew Selth
Authors: Chung-min Tsai, National Chengchi University and Yves Tiberghien, University of British ColumbiaTaiwan’s three-way presidential and legislative election campaign has entered a vital phase leading up to final rallies on 12 January and the vote on 13 January. With Taiwan at the heart of strategic tensions in Asia, the whole world is watching how Taiwanese voters react.
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Dec 17, 2023 | 
asiatimes.com | Andrew Selth
In late October, an alliance of three ethnic armed organizations (EAO) launched a major offensive against Myanmar’s military regime in the north of the country. Soon afterward, other EAOs and militia groups, including members of the opposition People’s Defense Forces (PDFs), took advantage of the regime’s troubles by opening new fronts in western, eastern and southern Myanmar. To the surprise of many, the junta’s armed forces (or Tatmadaw) suffered a series of major defeats.
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Dec 17, 2023 | 
bangladeshpost.net | Andrew Selth
In late October, an alliance of three ethnic armed organisations (EAO) launched a major offensive against Myanmar’s military regime in the north of the country. Soon afterwards, other EAOs and militia groups, including members of the opposition People’s Defence Force (PDF), took advantage of the regime’s troubles by opening new fronts in western, eastern and southern Myanmar. To the surprise of many, the junta’s armed forces (or Tatmadaw) suffered a series of major defeats.
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Dec 15, 2023 | 
eastasiaforum.org | Andrew Selth |Allison Alexy |Yiping Huang |Gary Clyde Hufbauer
Author: Andrew Selth, Griffith Asia InstituteIn late October, an alliance of three ethnic armed organisations (EAO) launched a major offensive against Myanmar’s military regime in the north of the country. Soon afterwards, other EAOs and militia groups, including members of the opposition People’s Defence Force (PDF), took advantage of the regime’s troubles by opening new fronts in western, eastern and southern Myanmar.
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Dec 6, 2023 | 
asialink.unimelb.edu.au | Andrew Selth |Kansiree Sittipoonaegkapat
Myanmar’s generals have always known that the armed forces, or Tatmadaw, could never maintain a physical presence throughout the entire country. To exercise control, they counted on a divided opposition, superior intelligence and mobile strike forces. They also relied on a large element of bluff.
