Ari Cicurel

Washington, D.C., United States

Assistant Director of Foreign Policy at Jewish Institute for National Security of America

Associate Director of Foreign Policy @JINSADC University of Michigan and King's College London grad. Views are my own. RT/Like ≠ endorsement

Articles

Iranian Ballistic Missile Estimates

1 week ago | jinsa.org | Ari Cicurel

| Share: Since Israel began Operation Rising Lion on June 13, Iran has launched massive waves of bal-listic missile attacks. Iran’s missile launches have been declining, however, as Israel has de-graded its launch capabilities. The analysis below seeks to estimate Iran’s remaining ballistic missile arsenal and its possible rate of fire over the coming days.
Israel’s Operation Rising Lion: 6/13/25 Update

2 weeks ago | jinsa.org | Ari Cicurel

| Share: With Israel beginning Operation Rising Lion against Iranian military, nuclear, and leadership targets and Iran launching a retaliatory attack, JINSA will regularly release updates detailing their exchanges of fire. An update with information as of June 13, 2025 at 11:00 am ET is below. Click here to read the Operation Rising Lion Update.
Monthly Iran Projectile Tracker: May 2025

3 weeks ago | jinsa.org | Ari Cicurel

| Share: The Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s (JINSA) Iran Projectile Tracker presents regularly updated charts and graphs on missiles, rockets, drones, and mortars that Iran and its regional proxies have fired at U.S. personnel, partners, and interests in the Middle East, as well as data for other Iran-linked malign activity. Below is an update reflecting the major trends from the last month.
Forged Under Fire: Middle East Air Defense After Iran’s 2024 Attacks on Israel

3 weeks ago | jinsa.org | John Hannah |Ari Cicurel

The scene: Two combat jets race through the night sky on opposite sides of the Saudi-Jordanian border. In one cockpit, a pilot from the Royal Saudi Air Force. In the other, one of Israel’s top air commanders. For most of modern Middle East history, this might have been the prelude to a mid-air dogﬁght waged by combatants in one of the region’s multiple wars pitting the Jewish state against its Arab neighbors. But on the evening of April 13, 2024, a radically diﬀerent scenario was unfolding.
Houthi Projectile Tracker: 5/7/25 Update

1 month ago | jinsa.org | Ari Cicurel

| Share: The Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s (JINSA) Iran Projectile Tracker presents regularly updated charts and graphs on missiles, rockets, drones, and mortars that Iran and its regional proxies have fired at U.S. personnel, partners, and interests in the Middle East, as well as data for other Iran-linked malign activity.
The Typhoon Doctrine: A New Strategy for Securing Israel's Borders

1 month ago | jinsa.org | Ari Cicurel |Yoni Tobin

| Share: The October 7 attack and its aftermath revealed significant shortcomings in Israel’s border security doctrine and its implementation. Israel’s assumptions about the magnitude and nature of threats on its borders proved false, and, as a result, its operational concept and plans to protect against those threats failed.
Monthly Iran Projectile Tracker: March 2025

2 months ago | jinsa.org | Ari Cicurel

| Share: The Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s (JINSA) Iran Projectile Tracker presents regularly updated charts and graphs on missiles, rockets, drones, and mortars that Iran and its regional proxies have fired at U.S. personnel, partners, and interests in the Middle East, as well as data for other Iran-linked malign activity. Below is an update reflecting the major trends from the last month.
Help Wanted: Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Referee

Mar 25, 2025 | realcleardefense.com | Mark Fox |Ari Cicurel

The fragile, imperfect ceasefire in Lebanon has held. But it could become more tenuous after a recent change to a critical element in its success: high-level, on-the-ground U.S. military coordination and leadership. For three months, Major General Jasper Jeffers interfaced in Beirut between the Israeli and Lebanese militaries. His presence and stature enabled the monitoring of Hezbollah’s compliance with the deal, deployment of Lebanese troops to the border, and withdrawal of Israeli forces.
Houthi Escalation Projectile Tracker: 3/18/25 Update

Mar 18, 2025 | jinsa.org | Ari Cicurel

| Share: The Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s (JINSA) Iran Projectile Tracker presents regularly updated charts and graphs on missiles, rockets, drones, and mortars that Iran and its regional proxies have fired at U.S. personnel, partners, and interests in the Middle East, as well as data for other Iran-linked malign activity.
Monthly Iran Projectile Tracker: February 2025

Mar 7, 2025 | jinsa.org | Ari Cicurel

| Share: The Jewish Institute for National Security of America’s (JINSA) Iran Projectile Tracker presents regularly updated charts and graphs on missiles, rockets, drones, and mortars that Iran and its regional proxies have fired at U.S. personnel, partners, and interests in the Middle East, as well as data for other Iran-linked malign activity. Below is an update reflecting the major trends from the last month.