Ben Carlson

Grand Rapids

Trying to bring some common sense to the world of finance. Book: https://t.co/c53AckMaZF Podcast: https://t.co/GrhZZzIjLv

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Articles

Animal Spirits: Most Stocks Suck

1 month ago | awealthofcommonsense.com | Ben Carlson

This content, which contains security-related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner.
Talk Your Book: The Nasdaq 100 of Crypto

1 month ago | awealthofcommonsense.com | Ben Carlson |Ben Carlson

This content, which contains security-related opinions and/or information, is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon in any manner as professional advice, or an endorsement of any practices, products or services. There can be no guarantees or assurances that the views expressed here will be applicable for any particular facts or circumstances, and should not be relied upon in any manner.
Flexible Methods for Species Distribution Modeling with Small Samples

2 months ago | biorxiv.org | Brian S. Maitner |Robert Richards |Ben Carlson |John Drake

Abstract1. Species distribution models (SDMs) are used for understanding where species live or could potentially live and are a key resource for ecological research and conservation decision-making. However, current SDM methods often perform poorly for rare or inadequately sampled species, which includes most species on earth as well as most of those of the greatest conservation concern. 2.
Historical Returns For Stocks, Bonds, Cash, Real Estate and Gold - A Wealth of Common Sense

Jan 14, 2025 | awealthofcommonsense.com | Ben Carlson

An update on long-terms for stocks, bonds, cash, real estate and gold.
Some Things I Don’t Believe About Investing

Nov 5, 2024 | financialchickens.com | Ben Carlson

As Charlie Munger liked to say, “Invert, always invert.”Here are some things about investing that I don’t believe:I don’t believe there is a sole way to invest. Everyone has a different emotional make-up and lesser version of themself. Plus, experiences and circumstances can shape your attitudes towards risk and return. There are a lot of strategies that can work. You just have to find the one that works for you and then stick with it regardless of what everyone else is doing. Easier said than done.
Don’t Take Financial Advice From Hedge Fund Managers

Nov 1, 2024 | financialchickens.com | Ben Carlson

Paul Tudor Jones made some waves last week on a CNBC interview: He’s worried government spending and deficit levels are going to lead to a crisis:“The question is after this election will we have a Minsky moment here in the United States and U.S. debt markets?” Jones said, referring to shorthand for a dramatic decline in asset prices.
Am I a Permabull?

Oct 24, 2024 | financialchickens.com | Ben Carlson

A reader asks:Ben Carlson, do you think it’s fair to describe you as a permabull? This is a fair question. I am a big proponent of thinking and acting for the long-term, buy & hold investing and keeping an optimistic bias about the future. I am a glass-is-half-full kind of guy. If the choice were between being a permabull or permabear I’d choose permabull all day long. Permabears are the bane of my existence.
Sequence of Returns

Oct 17, 2024 | financialchickens.com | Ben Carlson

A reader asks:Please help settle a disagreement my friend and I are having: He says he’d rather the stock market only go down a little bit and then go up a steady amount every year during his working years because recovering from a 30% drawdown on your current portfolio would be difficult. I would rather buy shares on sale. I’d prefer the market be down 30% for the next 5 years, which will allow me to obtain shares at a discount. Then when I retire have the market rip for the next 10+ years.
“$500 is basically free these days”

Oct 4, 2024 | financialchickens.com | Ben Carlson

Housing can be a good investment. Anyone who bought a home before the pandemic can attest to that. The gains this cycle have been spectacular. But housing is also a form of consumption. You not only have property taxes and homeowners insurance but ongoing maintenance, lawn care, wear & tear, renovations, decorations, furniture, etc. I was reminded of this when we had a minor roof leak issue this week. It was nothing major, just a little leak in our screened-in porch.
"$500 is basically free these days" - A Wealth of Common Sense

Oct 4, 2024 | awealthofcommonsense.com | Ben Carlson

Some thoughts on a potential home renovation boom.