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2 weeks ago | 
tallyroom.com.au | Ben Raue
Australian politics today is very different to what it was even ten years ago, but the shift in the partisan make-up of the country has been a story decades in the making. For today’s post I’m going to recount and update statistics about how Australia has shifted from a strong two-party system into the fragmented multi-party system we have today.
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1 month ago | 
tallyroom.com.au | Ben Raue
Over the last few years I have had the privilege of making submissions and then appearing before parliamentary inquiries reviewing the conduct of the most recent federal election and the most recent state elections in New South Wales and Victoria. Each of these inquiries are a standard practice following every general election, and are conducted by a standing joint committee dedicated to electoral matters.
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Dec 8, 2024 | 
tallyroom.com.au | Ben Raue
The Australian federal election will be held at some point in the first half of 2025, and I have now completed my guide to all 150 electorates. I published guides for 50 seats in mid-2023, but electorates in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia had to wait for the conclusion of redistributions. These redistributions concluded around the time of the Queensland election, and I’ve now finished all of these guides.
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Nov 22, 2024 | 
tallyroom.com.au | Ben Raue
There will be a by-election for the Victorian state seat of Prahran coming up soon, likely at the start of 2025. Sam Hibbins won the seat for the Greens in 2014, and again in 2018 and 2022. He quit the party earlier this month after revelations of an affair with a staff member.
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Oct 30, 2024 | 
tallyroom.com.au | Ben Raue
The process of vote-counting for the Victorian council elections started last Saturday, and while a lot of votes have been counted, absolutely none of them have been officially published for the public on the VEC’s website. The process commenced last Saturday, and in the early days of the week some results have started to leak out. The Age started a live blog yesterday with a variety of results.
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Oct 28, 2024 | 
tallyroom.com.au | Ben Raue
The Electoral Matters Committee of the Victorian parliament has launched an inquiry into the structure of the Legislative Council. The inquiry is not seeking submissions on group voting tickets, but the inquiry is related to the push to abolish GVTs because such a change would likely stop a number of small parties from winning seats. A change in the regional structure could allow for a broader range of parties to win.
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Oct 26, 2024 | 
tallyroom.com.au | Ben Raue
Ben is joined by Alexis Pink from ZZZ to discuss the LNP coming to power in Queensland. We discuss the divide between north and south, the performances of the minor parties and how this new LNP government might differ from the last LNP government. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support. You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month.
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Oct 26, 2024 | 
theguardian.com | Ben Raue
The Queensland electorate has delivered a change of government, but it was not the overwhelming Labor defeat expected at the start of the campaign and has left the ALP with a sizeable opposition. Labor clawed back support during the campaign and only suffered modest losses in the south-east of the state. But it was hit hard in the regions, bringing Queensland Labor in line with the federal party and other state branches who have found their support increasingly concentrated in the big cities.
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Oct 26, 2024 | 
tallyroom.com.au | Ben Raue
Last night’s election result was nothing like the wipe-out expected when the LNP was on 55-56% of the two-party-preferred vote back in September, but it’s still reasonably clear. Overall the scale of the defeat looks similar to Labor’s victory in 52 seats in 2020. Under Queensland’s unicameral system, that’s enough to govern comfortably.
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Oct 25, 2024 | 
tallyroom.com.au | Ben Raue
6:11 – The Courier Mail has an exit poll which is reporting Labor and LNP with even primary votes in 10 seats, which is being reported as showing the race as close, but:The seats selected have an average Labor margin of 7.6%. The poll is ony conducted on election day, where Labor generally does better than at pre-poll. These figures are primary votes. While the ALP probably doesn’t do quite as well in preferences in Queensland as they do in some states, it still confuses things.
