Benjy Sarlin

1 month ago | washingtonpost.com | Benjy Sarlin

Nov 8, 2024 | semafor.com | Benjy Sarlin

We’re deep in the “bargaining” phase now, as Democrats look for coalition members to blame, positions to dump, and language to police that will win them back the millions of voters they lost across the country on Tuesday. That’s a healthy part of any electoral loss, and it’s why we have free and fair elections — politicians only know when they touched the hot stove when voters tell them.

Nov 7, 2024 | semafor.com | Benjy Sarlin

If there’s one takeaway from the latest election results for both parties, it’s that it should explode the “demographics” conversation that’s been dominating American politics this century. By “demographics” I mean an ongoing — often intensely racialized and divisive — debate about which party is positioning itself toward a durable long-term majority. Instead, the political imagination is a little bigger today than it was on Monday.

Nov 6, 2024 | semafor.com | Benjy Sarlin

Donald Trump is projected to win the US presidential election, completing an improbable comeback after he previously sought to overturn his prior loss, culminating in a riot at the Capitol, and faced criminal charges. The first president to be elected to non-consecutive terms since Grover Cleveland in 1892, Trump rode a wave of discontent over post-pandemic inflation and border crossings to victory.

Nov 2, 2024 | semafor.com | Benjy Sarlin

The final Des Moines Register poll by J. Ann Selzer finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading former president Donald Trump among likely voters by a 47-44 margin. It’s a truly shocking finding from one of the nation’s few consensus “gold standard” pollsters, who has a long track record of closely predicting the results in her state. If it were to pan out, it would be an astounding upset. Trump easily won the state by about 9 points in 2016 and 8 in 2020.