Bjorn van Roye Journalist Profile

Articles

The New Economics: Building a Toolkit for the Markets

Nov 6, 2023 | bnnbloomberg.ca | Martin Ademmer |Ana B. Galvao |Ana Flávia Galvão |Nicholas Hallmark |Andrej Sokol |Bjorn van Roye | +1 more

(Bloomberg) -- Economic analysis for a market audience is in the midst of a revolution. In the old world, economists waited for lagging official data, worked without robust objective measures as a support for subjective judgments and struggled to bridge the gap between economic theory and market behavior. Perhaps it shouldn’t be a surprise, then, that the major economic events of the past 20 years—the Great Recession of 2007-09 and 2021’s inflation surge—took most forecasters by surprise.
The New Economics: Building a Toolkit for the Markets

Nov 6, 2023 | bloomberg.com | Martin Ademmer |Ana B. Galvao |Ana Flávia Galvão |Andrej Sokol |Bjorn van Roye |Anna Wong | +1 more

Economic analysis for a market audience is in the midst of a revolution. In the old world, economists waited for lagging official data, worked without robust objective measures as a support for subjective judgments and struggled to bridge the gap between economic theory and market behavior. Perhaps it shouldn’t be a surprise, then, that the major economic events of the past 20 years—the Great Recession of 2007-09 and 2021’s inflation surge—took most forecasters by surprise.
Tricky ECB Job Apparent in Euro-Area Disinflation Drivers

Feb 6, 2023 | bloomberg.com | Martin Ademmer |Bjorn van Roye

February 6, 2023, 12:48 PM UTCShare this articleNewSubscriber BenefitBloomberg subscribers can gift up to 5 articles a month for anyone to read, even non-subscribers! Learn moreBloomberg Economics’ new model shows that supply-driven inflation accounts for about two-thirds of the gap between the headline reading and its historical average — demand-driven inflation accounts for about one-third.
What’s Behind Fall in US Yields? Fed Hope, Growth Fear

Jan 24, 2023 | bloomberg.com | Martin Ademmer |Bjorn van Roye

January 24, 2023, 12:21 PM UTCListen to this articleShare this articleNewSubscriber BenefitBloomberg subscribers can gift up to 5 articles a month for anyone to read, even non-subscribers! Learn moreTen-year Treasury yields declined more than 80 basis points from early November to mid-January — Bloomberg Economics’ new asset-price decomposition model attributes this mainly to market expectations of a less hawkish Federal Reserve and a looming recession.