Bryce Knorr
Senior Grain Market Analyst at Farm Futures
Articles
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5 days ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
Ever talk to farmers from a different part of the country and marvel at their strong basis? They didn’t earn that overnight. It takes time – sometimes a generation or more – to build demand and raise prices. All those hog barns, first in North Carolina and then in Iowa? The ethanol plants lining the western Corn Belt? None of that, and especially not the cattle feedlots stretching as far as the eye can see from Texas to Western Kansas, sprouted up overnight.
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1 week ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
Memorial Day marks the beginning of summer. And this year it also signals the start for weekly assessments of corn fields. Before satellites and remote sensing, these Crop Progress reports from USDA were as close to real time as the market got. To be sure, many analysts poo-poo the condition reports as merely drive-by observations made from looking out the window rather than walking fields and picking samples for in-depth evaluations.
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2 weeks ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
Memorial Day means summer, and a fast start to planting has the new crop growing season well underway. But most growers still have plenty of old crop chores to complete as they contemplate prospects for the year ahead. Halfway through the marketing year on March 1, the U.S. still held 8.5 billion bushels of corn and another 3.47 billion bushels of soybeans. The size, location and ultimate destination for those inventories should determine winners and losers as the selling season winds down.
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3 weeks ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
U.S. farmers know all about change – and that experience could help them navigate markets as variable as spring weather morphing to summer. China and the U.S. stepped back from their trade war brinksmanship following negotiations in Switzerland over the weekend that ended with an agreement to reducing tariffs, at least for now. Still, the absence of fog isn’t by any means the same thing as clarity.
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1 month ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
USDA’s May World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates are a mid-planting coming-out party for corn and soybeans farmers. This WASDE, out May 12, includes the agency’s first monthly forecasts for new crop, as well as updates to leftover stocks expected at the end of the current marketing year Aug. 31. The May numbers are always just a starting point, subject to lots of change until the cycle ends in two years.
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#ethanol production up 16,000 bbl/day last week, but stocks fall 4.1%. Crude oil inventories up 800,000 bbl on record U.S. production. #diesel stocks fall 2.2%
#ethanol production up again last week but still below last year. Stocks up 3.7 %. Crud oil inventories up 7.2 mil bbl, more than expected, futures trim gains. Midwest #diesel supplies down 1.3 mil bbl on ag demand.
September #soybean crush of 162.3 mil bu right on my estimate but still 4.3% below last year. https://t.co/SDccFOVbqp