Bryce Knorr
Senior Grain Market Analyst at Farm Futures
Articles
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2 days ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
U.S. farmers know all about change – and that experience could help them navigate markets as variable as spring weather morphing to summer. China and the U.S. stepped back from their trade war brinksmanship following negotiations in Switzerland over the weekend that ended with an agreement to reducing tariffs, at least for now. Still, the absence of fog isn’t by any means the same thing as clarity.
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1 week ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
USDA’s May World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates are a mid-planting coming-out party for corn and soybeans farmers. This WASDE, out May 12, includes the agency’s first monthly forecasts for new crop, as well as updates to leftover stocks expected at the end of the current marketing year Aug. 31. The May numbers are always just a starting point, subject to lots of change until the cycle ends in two years.
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2 weeks ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
Diversification is a mantra in the world of money – especially right now. “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket” is common sense in normal times. And when the going gets tough, avoiding big concentrations helps avoid disastrous positions when the wheel lands on “nothing” instead of “all.”Lately money managers seeking diversity pivoted to commodities as part of this push to spread their holdings around. Gold in particular is having a Goldilocks moment.
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3 weeks ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
“Neutral” doesn’t exactly scream excitement. Think brown and grey, not red or vivid blue. But growers’ hopes for rallies this spring and summer could depend on futures’ response to perceived threats from a neutral reading in the El Nino cycle of ocean temperatures and atmospheric currents in the equatorial Pacific. U.S. weather forecasters last week issued a final advisory on La Nina, saying the cooling phase of ENSO cycle ended in March. The new neutral phase is forecast to persist into 2026.
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1 month ago |
farmprogress.com | Bryce Knorr
Ag Marketing IQ: Weather impacts account for greater than 95% of the price variance for corn over the last 13 years. Using options to maximize opportunity helps bring profit. But are your financial pockets deep enough to ride out 2025 grain crop storms? Bryce Knorr, Contributing market analystCorn and soybeans rally for a reason during the growing season. Offers tend to be best for both crops because a lot can happen to fields to affect supply not only in the U.S. but around the world.
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#ethanol production up 16,000 bbl/day last week, but stocks fall 4.1%. Crude oil inventories up 800,000 bbl on record U.S. production. #diesel stocks fall 2.2%
#ethanol production up again last week but still below last year. Stocks up 3.7 %. Crud oil inventories up 7.2 mil bbl, more than expected, futures trim gains. Midwest #diesel supplies down 1.3 mil bbl on ag demand.
September #soybean crush of 162.3 mil bu right on my estimate but still 4.3% below last year. https://t.co/SDccFOVbqp