Cameron Bagrie's profile photo

Cameron Bagrie

Wellington

Managing Director and Chief Economist, Bagrie Economics and Contributor at Freelance

Managing Director at Bagrie Economics. Independent. straight shooting economics insights most Sundays 8pm. Details at https://t.co/cCeahIr699

Articles

  • 1 week ago | businessdesk.co.nz | Cameron Bagrie

    Trade-offs. That is my word to describe the upcoming Budget, because we face many competing priorities. Defence is now a clear priority. But where is the money coming from if we expect government spending to decline overall as a share of the economic pie? Peter needs to pay Paul. Who is Peter?Every economist has a bullshit radar.

  • 2 weeks ago | businessdesk.co.nz | Cameron Bagrie

    A zero 2025 Budget.

  • 2 weeks ago | businessdesk.co.nz | Cameron Bagrie

    Students are being stood down from school more often, for up to five days. It’s like being suspended. Is it an effective intervention, allowing a cooling-off period, or becoming a fall-back option for schools? I’m not sure we really know.Readers may have noticed I have a bee in my bonnet about education. It’s at the epicentre of where the economy is going to be in 30 years.

  • 1 month ago | businessdesk.co.nz | Rebecca Stevenson |Cameron Bagrie

    David Gibson has resigned from the board of NZME for “personal reasons”.The media company announced his resignation in a brief statement to the market on Tuesday morning, saying it was with “immediate effect”.It comes as the incumbent board is being challenged by one of its significant shareholders, Jim Grenon, to remove the entire board.NZME was meant to have its annual meeting on April 29, but it has since pushed that back to June 3 and reopened nominations for directors.A former investment...

  • 1 month ago | businessdesk.co.nz | David Chaplin |Cameron Bagrie |Tina Schirr |Pattrick Smellie

    Every year, the much-anticipated Mercer's annual "Periodic Table" of investment returns reveals a different plot with the same perennial ending.In the latest edition released last week, for example, David Scobie, Mercer New Zealand principal, wraps up the investment lessons of calendar year 2024 as below:“The unpredictability of capital markets over the short term is a feature that tests investors repeatedly and resonates as we experience the heightened volatility of early 2025.

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Cameron Bagrie
Cameron Bagrie @cameronbagrie
14 Apr 25

$13.5 million for “could bring” 23.000 visitors? That’s $587 per visitor. That’s almost paying the airfare for an Aussie arrival. Live: Government announces $13.5m to ‘turbocharge’ tourism numbers | Stuff https://t.co/wnkz5WMW5S

Cameron Bagrie
Cameron Bagrie @cameronbagrie
12 Apr 25

I asked for numbers behind this straight away via the Ministers office. Referred to MOD to provide data. Still waiting. What’s the problem providing data points? Multi-billion dollar Defence plan unveiled | ⁦@JudithCollinsMP⁩ ⁦@NZNationalParty⁩ https://t.co/3OniGmMRjC

Cameron Bagrie
Cameron Bagrie @cameronbagrie
30 Mar 25

Great day. While short on details there is teeth in this. The market is not working so you address the problem, which is market structure. Supermarkets ‘on notice’, face break-up threat: Willis | BusinessDesk https://t.co/P6qsN5QaJz