Daniel McDonald Journalist Profile

Articles

Title evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations | Nature Communications

Jul 25, 2024 | nature.com | Sarabeth Mathis |Lauren White |Roni Rosenfeld |Daniel McDonald |Daniel Mcdonald |Sen Pei | +41 more

AbstractAccurate forecasts can enable more effective public health responses during seasonal influenza epidemics. For the 2021–22 and 2022–23 influenza seasons, 26 forecasting teams provided national and jurisdiction-specific probabilistic predictions of weekly confirmed influenza hospital admissions for one-to-four weeks ahead. Forecast skill is evaluated using the Weighted Interval Score (WIS), relative WIS, and coverage.

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