David Robinson

England

Senior UK Reporter at Market News International

Senior UK Reporter | European Data Product Manager MNI | Deutsche Börse. Econ, politics and whatever else. Views my own, or borrowed from smarter folk.

Articles

MNI INTERVIEW: Mortgage Holders Overestimated Rik...- 04-10-2025

2 weeks ago | mnimarkets.com | David Robinson

Swedish households have become more sensitive to changes in the Riksbank's policy rate as a result of surging demand for variable-rate mortgages, but borrowers appear to have bet on the central bank cutting deeper than it has, a senior analyst at reg...
MNI INTERVIEW: Riksbank Eyes Inflation Expectatio...- 04-01-2025

3 weeks ago | mnimarkets.com | David Robinson

You are missing out on very valuable content. Rising trade tariffs are likely to depress economic growth, but while their effects on inflation may be short-lived monetary policymakers must be alert to any risk of price expectations becoming de-anchored, Riksbank Deputy Governor Per Jansson told ...
MNI BRIEF: BOE Bailey - AI A Way Out Of UK's Low Productivity

1 month ago | marketnews.com | David Robinson

MNI (LONDON) - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey on Monday highlighted the weakness of UK productivity growth and labour supply in a speech at Leicester University, without addressing current monetary policy. Bailey noted that average annual potential gowth fell from 2.6% in the pre-financial crisis period to 1.3% in the decade up to 2019 and to just 0.7% since 2020, with an ageing population entailing that there is a more pressing need to raise the workforce's productivity.
MNI INTERVIEW: Rapid Rate Move Up More Plausible-Riksbank Head

1 month ago | marketnews.com | David Robinson

MNI (STOCKHOLM) - A rapid move higher in rates is more likely than a sharp move lower in light of the turbulence caused by U.S. trade policy Riksbank Governor Erik Thedeen told MNI, after the Executive Board left its policy rate on hold at 2.25% and projected three years of unchanged rates. While the central projection is flat, Thedeen stressed that policy could change rapidly and uncertainty is high.
UK: BOE: Rates Held At 4.5% In 8-1 Vote

1 month ago | marketnews.com | David Robinson

MNI (LONDON) - The BOE MPC voted 8-1 to hold rates at 4.50%, with Dhingra voting for a 25bp cut (versus 50bp in February) and the activist Mann back to voting for unchanged rates. The vote split was somewhat of a surprise, with 13/19 sell-side analysts whose previews we read looking for a 7-2 vote coming into the decision. The guidance language in the MPS was materially unchanged to February, with the MPC advocating a "gradual and careful" approach to further easing.
UK: BOE Instant Answers March 2025: Bank Rate Held At 4.5%; 8-1 Vote

1 month ago | marketnews.com | David Robinson

MNI is the leading provider of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.
MNI INTERVIEW: UK's OBR To Cut Productivity Only Slightly-Bean

1 month ago | marketnews.com | David Robinson

MNI (LONDON) - Fears the UK’s fiscal watchdog will ditch its assumption of a rebound in productivity growth over its five-year forecast period, sharply pushing up its projections for government borrowing, are likely to prove unfounded, though it could point to a slower recovery than previously indicated, a former top Office for Budget Responsibility official told MNI.
MNI BRIEF: Riksbank Leaves Policy On Hold; Sees It Flatlining

1 month ago | marketnews.com | David Robinson

Riksbank leaves policy rate on hold at 2.25%, foreseeing flatling rates over projection period. MNI (LONDON) - The Riksbank left its policy rate on hold at 2.25% Thursday and predicted that it would now flatline throughout its three year forecast. The RIksbank, having cut rapidly, is now signalling that rates have troughed and a prolonged period of stability will follow, although it acknowledged substantial risks on either side.
MNI RIKSBANK WATCH: Expected To Hold And Show Rate Flatlining

1 month ago | marketnews.com | David Robinson

MNI (LONDON) - The Riksbank is widely expected to leave its policy rate on hold at 2.25% at its March meeting this week, having cut by 175 basis points since May and with its previous forecasts and commentary suggesting it could have reached the end of the easing cycle.
MNI BOE WATCH: Set For March Hold, Mann's Vote The Wildcard

1 month ago | marketnews.com | David Robinson

MNI (LONDON) - The Bank of England is virtually certain to keep its policy rate on hold at 4.5% at its March meeting this week, with guidance adopted in February for "a gradual and careful approach" to further easing likely to stay in place. The Monetary Policy Committee voted seven-to-two for February’s 25-basis-point cut, with two members, Swati Dhingra and Catherine Mann, backing a 50bp reduction.

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David Robinson @DavidRobinson2K

13 Jun 24

RT @karl_fh: "Under 'policies', you've just put 'growth'" "Yeah" "That's your job, though. I was sort of looking for your policies within…

David Robinson @DavidRobinson2K

13 Jun 23

BOE newcomer @economistmeg very clear at TSC on inflation persistence risks, easier to go from 10% to 5% than from 5% to 2%. But making heavy weather of criticisms that BOE policymakers have taken sides on wage claims, firms' price setting. Simple answer: shouldn't take sides.

David Robinson @DavidRobinson2K

2 Feb 23

Joy listening to @aleksandarhemon @LRB. Macaronic languages, haunting Sarajevo and his latest book, which once had an apt working title of Bad Things Happen.