Articles

  • 1 day ago | thedemocraticstrategist.org | Ed Kilgore

    One of the reasons Zohran Mamdani’s smashing victory yesterday created such a sensation is that public polls (overall) did a poor job of predicting the size and shape of both his and Andrew Cuomo’s coalitions in the Democratic mayoral primary. An average of these polls prepared by Race to the WH showed Cuomo with 36.4 percent of first-choice ballots and Mamdani with 28.6 percent.

  • 1 day ago | nymag.com | Ed Kilgore

    It's been over seven months since the 2024 presidential election, and you might assume everything there is to be said about it has already been said, perhaps redundantly. But the data we had on the components of the electorate that fed Donald Trump's victory over Kamala Harris was pretty rough in November and has grown steadily more reliable. Now (minor tweaks notwithstanding), we may have something like the final word.

  • 1 day ago | nymag.com | Ed Kilgore

    The creaking legislative machine congressional Republicans are using to enact Donald Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill is getting really noisy and inefficient as it clanks toward a self-imposed July 4 deadline. The math doesn't really add up anymore. There's a host of provisions, growing each day, that various Republicans swear they cannot support (Democrats are entirely irrelevant to the process).

  • 2 days ago | thedemocraticstrategist.org | Ed Kilgore

    At New York, I wrote a post about Andrew Cuomo and the sort of faux-centrism I believe he represents–the week before the former governor went down to a shocking defeat in the New York Democratic mayoral primary. Maybe I was on to something….

  • 2 days ago | nymag.com | Ed Kilgore

    One of the reasons Zohran Mamdani's smashing victory yesterday created such a sensation is that public polls (overall) did a poor job of predicting the size and shape of both his and Andrew Cuomo's coalitions in the Democratic mayoral primary. An average of these polls prepared by Race to the WH showed Cuomo with 36.4 percent of first-choice ballots and Mamdani with 28.6 percent.

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Ed Kilgore
Ed Kilgore @ed_kilgore
6 Jun 25

Didn't see this coming: https://t.co/BubplebSVu

Ed Kilgore
Ed Kilgore @ed_kilgore
4 Jun 25

I probably read as many William F. Buckley columns and watched as many episodes of Firing Line back in the day as most anyone on X. So here's my two bits on the idea that WFB was a Trump precursor: https://t.co/fw4lVKXJ9H

Ed Kilgore
Ed Kilgore @ed_kilgore
3 Jun 25

All the talk of Radical Left judges thwarting Trump's agenda misses the fact that he could have pursued all his policy objectives without confronting the judiciary. https://t.co/NJeUwAZNv0