Edward Luttwak

Dec 26, 2024 | unherd.com | Edward Luttwak

AssadHistoryMiddle EastPoliticsSyriaUS The foreign busybodies in the State Department, Foreign Office and the French foreign ministry, who are already now pressing for the reconstruction of a unitary Syrian state, should reflect on the country’s history. Syria was never meant to function as a unitary state. Nor under Sunni Arab majority rule, as it is likely to now.

Dec 11, 2024 | ilgiornale.it | Edward Luttwak

Damasco è caduta perché l'Iran ha mantenuto a lungo al potere la dittatura di Assad grazie alla sua milizia libanese Hezbollah - il più grande esercito non statale del mondo - che Israele ha demolito in una serie di attacchi iniziati lo scorso settembre.

Dec 9, 2024 | unherd.com | Edward Luttwak

AssadDamascusIranMiddle EastPoliticsrestofworldSyria Damascus has fallen — something that has as much to do with Iran as Syria. Tehran had long kept the Assad dictatorship in power, alongside its Hezbollah militia in Lebanon, with the latter representing the largest non-state army on Earth. But from late September, Israel demolished Hassan Nasrallah’s former organisation in a series of punishing attacks.

Dec 7, 2024 | ilgiornale.it | Edward Luttwak

Dal quinto giorno della guerra in Medio Oriente (12 ottobre 2023, con l'articolo titolato «Che cosa otterrà l'invasione di Gaza da parte di Israele?»), ho cercato di spiegare e persino di prevedere gli eventi in corso, guidato dalla certezza che questa guerra non poteva essere fondamentalmente diversa dalle precedenti guerre di Israele, che risalgono al 1947 e che hanno portato a una vittoria israeliana decisiva attraverso sconfitte iniziali, aspre controversie politiche e molta confusione.

Nov 8, 2024 | unherd.com | Edward Luttwak

Foreign PolicyPoliticsSecond TermTrumpUS Beyond his likely majority in both the Senate and the House, Trump’s real advantage over Trump’s last term is his last term. More experienced in the halls of power, and with a sharper sense of his own vision for America, the 47th President will not make the same mistakes as the 45th. That could have especially dramatic consequences abroad — Trump now knows who to appoint and how to operate in foreign capitals.