Enayat A. Moallemi

Jun 24, 2024 | nature.com | Ke Li |Lei Gao |Zhaoxia Guo |Yucheng Dong |Enayat A. Moallemi |Michael Obersteiner | +1 more

AbstractChina’s long-term sustainability faces socioeconomic and environmental uncertainties. We identify five key systemic risk drivers, called disruptors, which could push China into a polycrisis: pandemic disease, ageing and shrinking population, deglobalization, climate change, and biodiversity loss. Using an integrated simulation model, we quantify the effects of these disruptors on the country’s long-term sustainability framed by 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).