Articles

  • 2 months ago | discovery.org | Gale Pooley

    Hannah Richie at OurWorldinData.org recently published an insightful article on the five metals featured in the Simon-Ehrlich bet. In 1990 Paul Ehrlich lost the 10-year wager and had to write a check to Simon for $576.07. Simon let Ehrlich pick the five metals back in 1980 when the bet started. The payment reflected the inflation-adjusted decline of 36 percent in the average price of the five metals over the decade.

  • Jan 17, 2025 | open.substack.com | Gale Pooley

    Hannah Richie at OurWorldinData.org recently published an insightful article on the five metals featured in the Simon–Ehrlich wager. In 1990, Paul Ehrlich lost the 10-year bet and had to write a check to Julian Simon for $576.07. Simon had let Ehrlich pick the five metals in 1980 when the bet started. The payment reflected the inflation-adjusted decline of 36 percent in the average price of the five metals over the decade.

  • Jan 11, 2025 | newsletter.humanprogress.org | Gale Pooley

    A key barrier to trusting a self-driving car is the cost of insurance. Since insurance companies risk large financial losses in the event of an accident, premium rates tell you how safe something is. Swiss Re, one of the world’s leading reinsurers, analyzed liability claims related to collisions from 25.3 million fully autonomous miles driven by Waymo.

  • Jan 10, 2025 | galepooley.substack.com | Gale Pooley

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  • Jan 7, 2025 | humanprogress.org | Saul Zimet |Gale Pooley

    Summary: Self-driving cars are revolutionizing road safety. Swiss Re’s analysis of 25.3 million autonomous miles driven by Waymo highlights a dramatic improvement, with a massive reduction in property damage claims and an even bigger reduction in bodily injury claims compared to human drivers. By leveraging Wright’s Law, Waymo’s learning curve enhances safety and paves the way for scalable technological growth in autonomous transportation.

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