Garfield Reynolds
Editor and Chief Rates Correspondent at Bloomberg Línea
Bond geek, fx fanatic and stock fool. Bloomberg News; Half-Russian, All Aussie. Food addict. Chart wiz. Views are my own & retweets aren't endorsements.
Articles
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1 month ago |
bloomberg.com | Simon Kennedy |Lu Wang |Garfield Reynolds
The shortest month is ending with long faces among those investors who had hoped 2025 would reward risk-taking. As fear replaces greed across trading desks, the S&P 500 is now down for the year. On the flip side, Treasuries have extended their best start to a year since 2020. Animal spirits are also in retreat in crypto, and stocks in Asia and Europe had rocky days.
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2 months ago |
bloomberg.com | Garfield Reynolds |Phil Serafino
The euro’s rally on the prospect of Ukraine peace talks is an impressive demonstration of the discount on European assets since Russia’s invasion almost three years ago. Given the long and complicated path ahead, the currency market reaction might be only a modest fraction of what actual peace would bring.
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Sep 18, 2024 |
hk.news.yahoo.com | Garfield Reynolds
信報財經新聞· 美大手減息半厘 年底前再降半厘 美國聯儲局一連兩日議息後，於本港時間周四凌晨2時宣布逾4年來首次減息，聯邦基金利率目標區間從23年高位大幅調低0.5厘，落到介乎4.75厘至5厘，有別於部分市場人士估計減0.25厘。當局承諾強烈支持就業，暗示會進一步減息。議息結果出爐後，美股道指急升逾二百點。 今次議息一併公布季度經濟展望，據最新利率點陣圖，官員料今年底利率中位數為4.4厘，低於6月的5.1厘，即意味年底前再減半厘；2025年底利率中位數3.4厘，低過6月時的4.1厘。 GDP料增2% 失業率4.4%惡化 美國經濟方面，估計今年國內生產總值（GDP）增長2%，低於6月預期升2.1%；今年底失業率4.4%，高過6月估計的4%；核心通脹率2.6%，較6月預估的2.8%放緩。 聯儲局在議息聲明中提到，經濟活動繼續以穩固步伐擴張，惟職位增長放慢，失業率上升但依然低企；通脹在邁向2%目標取得進一步進展，但仍略為高企。...
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Sep 18, 2024 |
msn.com | Garfield Reynolds
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Sep 18, 2024 |
bloomberg.com | Garfield Reynolds
The US economy will avoid a recession, majority of respondents saidUS equities will climb through the rest of the year with the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest-rate cut bolstering the chances of a soft landing for the economy, according to a survey of Bloomberg Terminal subscribers.
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