Günter Schneckenreither

May 30, 2023 | journals.plos.org | Lukas Herrmann |Austrian Academy |Günter Schneckenreither

Construction and evaluation of EffDIOur approach for quantifying time varying dispersion is based on the temporal progression of the plausibility pt(κ) ∈ [0, 1] of the reproduction model Eq (6) with fixed dispersion parameters κ given the observed data. When for an assumed amount of dispersion (κ), the model becomes less plausible over time, increasing the dispersion (i.e. proceeding to a lower value of κ) allows the model to retain the initial amount of plausibility.