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Jan 23, 2025 | 
dailymaverick.co.za | Jakkie Cilliers
ISS TODAY OP-ED New designs and features make it a viable future option for many African countries, where current technology does not appear to offer a baseload alternative. In a world that must urgently move away from fossil fuels to limit global warming, what does Africa’s long-term energy future look like?
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Jan 15, 2025 | 
allafrica.com | Jakkie Cilliers
Increasing levels of extreme poverty in Africa were turbocharged by COVID-19, fuelling the fire of relative deprivation. 2024 was a bleak year for Africa. Libya and Sudan were partitioned. Ethiopia struggled to contain insurgencies in Tigray, Amhara and Oromia, and conflict continued in South Sudan and Somalia. Coups placed four countries in the Sahel under military regimes and violent extremism spread terror in northern Mozambique, Mali, Nigeria, Burkina Faso, Niger and elsewhere.
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Jan 9, 2025 | 
dailymaverick.co.za | Jakkie Cilliers
ISS TODAY OP-ED Increasing levels of extreme poverty in Africa were turbocharged by Covid-19, fuelling the fire of relative deprivation. The year 2024 was bleak for Africa. Libya and Sudan were partitioned. Ethiopia struggled to contain insurgencies in Tigray, Amhara and Oromia, and conflict continued in South Sudan and Somalia.
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Jan 8, 2025 | 
issafrica.org | Jakkie Cilliers
Increasing levels of extreme poverty in Africa were turbocharged by COVID-19, fuelling the fire of relative deprivation. Published on 09 January 2025 in ISS Today By Jakkie Cilliers Head, African Futures and Innovation, ISS Pretoria 2024 was a bleak year for Africa. Libya and Sudan were partitioned. Ethiopia struggled to contain insurgencies in Tigray, Amhara and Oromia, and conflict continued in South Sudan and Somalia.
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Dec 3, 2024 | 
dialnet.unirioja.es | Jakkie Cilliers
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Nov 27, 2024 | 
dailymaverick.co.za | Jakkie Cilliers
ISS TODAY OP-ED Rather than seeking common African positions, prioritising Africa’s development and peace can provide a foundation for meaningful global influence. The international order is being challenged by tensions between the Global North or West and the emerging Global South powers, particularly the BRICS group. In a divided world, major and middle powers from both sides are courting Africa, as seen in the many summit meetings and billion-dollar investment pledges.
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Oct 30, 2024 | 
businesslive.co.za | Jakkie Cilliers
What does South Africa’s long-term development look like? The Institute for Security Studies (ISS) used the International Futures forecasting platform, developed by the Pardee Institute at the University of Denver to assess a business-as-usual and a high-growth scenario. A business-as-usual forecast estimates growth will average about 2.4% a year over the next two decades.
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Aug 11, 2024 | 
dailymaverick.co.za | Jakkie Cilliers
ISS TODAY OP-ED Instead of reinforcing borders, African and Western governments should handle unprecedented migration levels by negotiating skilled-worker agreements. The future will almost inevitably see large-scale migration on a level unknown in several generations, possibly centuries. It won’t happen in the next two years but will steadily ramp up so that by mid-century, hundreds of thousands of people globally are likely to be on the move annually.
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Jun 21, 2024 | 
securityfocusafrica.com | Jakkie Cilliers
Two factors will determine Africa’s future energy landscape: demand and population growth. First, substantial increases in energy demand will accompany Africa’s development. Rapid development requires the availability of 8.62 barrels of oil equivalent per person. The average in Africa currently is 3.2 barrels, the lowest of any region globally. Second, Africa is experiencing rapid population growth.
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Jun 11, 2024 | 
dailymaverick.co.za | Jakkie Cilliers
2024 ELECTIONS OP-ED South Africa desperately needs a new political vehicle that is truly nonracial in character and commits to growing the economy. Only Cyril Ramaphosa has the national breadth of support and stature to pull this off and it needs to start now. The election outcomes of 29 May 2024 have the potential to enable a realignment of South African politics that I previously thought was only possible with elections in 2029. Will it be poverty or growth? Let me explain.
