James Carafano

Washington, D.C.

Contributor at Freelance

Conservatives around the world on a mission-free, safe, prosperous sovereign nations, warriors for cultural freedom who fight for human flourishing

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Articles

The U.S. Army's New AbramsX Tank Could 'Roll Over' Anything

1 week ago | nationalsecurityjournal.org | James Carafano

Key Points and Summary: The main battle tank is not obsolete; its relevance is determined by battlefield context, not by the advent of new technologies like drones. -Historically, predictions of the tank’s demise, such as after the 1973 Yom Kippur War, have proven false. -While drones pose a new threat, they also enhance armor’s survivability by providing better reconnaissance. As long as ground forces need to take and hold territory, armored platforms will be essential.
Why Iran may back down after Israel's devastating attack

2 weeks ago | nypost.com | James Carafano

In every war, after the first bullet flies, the first question asked is “How does this end?” Anyone who confidently answers is either Nostradamus or nuts. That said, here is what we do know about what might come next:Fear-mongering to the contrary, it’s difficult to see this growing into a wider war. Too many rungs are missing on the escalation ladder. Iran doesn’t have a lot to fight back with, and doing so on the ground is out of the question; there are too many countries in between.
USA chcą wykorzystać osłabienie Putina i wejść na "jego" teren. "Kluczowe ogniwo". Trzy scenariusze - każdy na korzyść Trumpa

2 weeks ago | wiadomosci.onet.pl | James Carafano

W ostatnich latach rola Rosji jako głównego mediatora i gwaranta bezpieczeństwa na Kaukazie Południowym zmniejszyła się, głównie z powodu trwającej wojny w Ukrainie, wojny w Górskim Karabachu w 2020 r. oraz blokady Górskiego Karabachu w latach 2022–2023. Wynik wojny Rosji z Ukrainą bez wątpienia odegra kluczową rolę w dynamice sytuacji na Kaukazie Południowym.
Analysis: Is a Nuclear War Between India and Pakistan Possible?

1 month ago | 19fortyfive.com | James Carafano

Key Points and Summary: The recent India-Pakistan crisis (April-May 2025), which saw a ceasefire after a terror attack and retaliatory strikes, demonstrates that nuclear weapons primarily serve to deter other nuclear-armed states from using their nuclear weapons, rather than preventing conventional conflict or being useful for “escalate to de-escalate” tactics.
Analysis: Is a Nuclear War Between India and Pakistan Possible?

1 month ago | share.google | James Carafano

Key Points and Summary: The recent India-Pakistan crisis (April-May 2025), which saw a ceasefire after a terror attack and retaliatory strikes, demonstrates that nuclear weapons primarily serve to deter other nuclear-armed states from using their nuclear weapons, rather than preventing conventional conflict or being useful for “escalate to de-escalate” tactics.
Why Artificial Intelligence Might Not Win a War

1 month ago | share.google | James Carafano

It’s widely presumed that artificial intelligence (AI) will play a dominant role in future wars. Maybe not Skynet and Terminator-level stuff, but plenty of independent hunter-killer vehicles blasting each other and the rest of us. However, the way the future unfolds might be nothing like that. AI developments increasingly led by machine learning-enabled technologies, seem to be going in another direction. The History of Artificial ThinkingAI is a fairly plastic term.
The Age of the Aircraft Carrier Isn't Over

1 month ago | 19fortyfive.com | James Carafano

Key Points – China’s aggressive posture toward Taiwan and broader Indo-Pacific ambitions has renewed America’s reliance on aircraft carriers, reaffirming their strategic importance despite high costs and vulnerabilities. -Aircraft carriers offer unmatched mobility and power projection, crucial for deterring adversaries like Beijing. Although critics question their relevance amid emerging threats, the U.S. Navy has few viable alternatives to immediately replace the carrier’s unique capabilities.
The Army's New M10 Booker 'Light Tank' Needed To Be Scrapped

1 month ago | 19fortyfive.com | James Carafano

Key Points: The US Army’s cancellation of the M10 Booker light tank program reflects a shift towards strategic clarity under the Trump administration and Defense Secretary Hegseth, prioritizing combat relevance over flawed projects. -The M10, initially intended as an air-droppable asset for light forces, became too heavy due to requirements creep, losing its niche. Its cancellation signals a move away from programs not delivering effective capability efficiently.
Is the Army Ready for World War III?

1 month ago | 19fortyfive.com | James Carafano

Key Points: Assessing the US Army’s readiness for major conflict (“World War III”) under the second Trump administration, this analysis argues the force will likely become more realistically aligned with global challenges. -While not envisioning a massive expansion, Trump’s pragmatic approach avoids overstretch while recognizing global interests. -The Army’s key strengths—logistics, expanding long-range fires, infrastructure defense, and special operations—will remain vital.
Forget 'Obsolete': China Ensures Navy Aircraft Carriers Aren't Going Away

1 month ago | 19fortyfive.com | James Carafano

America’s Aircraft Carrier Dominance—Thank China: Absent the leaders in Beijing acting like they will be the next Golden Horde, America’s fleet of aircraft carriers might have been headed for the mothball fleet, floating museums, or candidates as artificial reefs. That’s not going to happen. The odds are that the Trump administration will extend the lease on life for carrier-centric fleet operations for another generation. Here is why.

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