
Jeremy Warner
Columnist and Associate Editor at The Telegraph
Associate Editor, The Daily Telegraph; columnist on the international and UK economies, finance, and business
Articles
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2 weeks ago |
independent.ie | Jeremy Warner
Donald Trump blames his 90-day tariffs pause on ‘people getting afraid’US president’s sudden reversal doesn’t spare China and his levies of 10pc will still apply to most US importsA cargo ship sits outside of the Port of Elizabeth marine terminal at Bayonne in New Jersey. Photo: Shannon Stapleton/Reuters©Telegraph Media Group Holdings LtdToday at 03:30Donald Trump admitted last night that his 90-day pause on his highest “reciprocal” tariffs was because people were getting “a little bit afraid”.
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2 weeks ago |
telegraph.co.uk | Jeremy Warner
In his social media post, Mr Dalio said: "The old monetary/economic order in which countries like China manufacture inexpensively, sell to Americans, and acquire American debt assets, and Americans borrow money from countries like China to make those purchases and build up huge debt liabilities will have to change ... "In an era of deglobalisation, these big trade and capital imbalances, which reflect trade and capital interconnectedness, will have to shrink one way or another.
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2 weeks ago |
telegraph.co.uk | Jeremy Warner
He's not the only one. Even Elon Musk, increasingly alarmed at the impact tariff wars are going to have on Tesla, has taken to X extolling the virtues of free trade. The Trump confidante - or should that be former confidante? - now suggests there should be tariff-free trade between Europe and the US. Despite his closeness to the US president, it appears that he too has not been listening.
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2 weeks ago |
yahoo.com | Jeremy Warner
It seems almost perverse to seek positives in the carnage unleashed on the world economy last week by Donald Trump’s tariff wars. But here goes anyway. Don’t worry – I’m not about to apologise for what the US president has done, or argue that there is method in the madness. It’s all bad, bad, bad. So before describing the positives, let me first list the many negatives. From an economic perspective, the tariffs make no sense at all.
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2 weeks ago |
telegraph.co.uk | Jeremy Warner
With escalation comes still greater damage. The chances of an outright recession have ratcheted up to at least 80pc, as financial markets are already signalling via plummeting equity prices and bond yields. The only question is, really, whether it is a shallow and short-lived contraction, with supply chains adjusting relatively quickly to the shock of the new global order in trade (or more accurately, the lack of it), or a deep and long-lasting one.
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Somebody knew. I wonder who's responsible for this insider trading? Oh wait...

Alright, I think people knew of the tariff pause and traded it beforehand. You can see before Trump posted "buy" on Truth Social, traders opened $QQQ $TQQQ and $SPY calls RIGHT BEFORE THE NEWS, someone opened $SPY 509 calls, expiring TODAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Those calls are https://t.co/8hG2i5Oijt

Looks as if China's hopes of galvanising a coalition of the willing to fight Trump's tariff wars is falling on deaf ears

AUSTRALIA TURNS DOWN CHINA'S OFFER TO 'JOIN HANDS' TO FIGHT US TARIFFS - RTRS

"I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President... But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody." James Carville, Bill Clinton's Chief Strategist. https://t.co/AwhoEHeqJz