John Sandbakken

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Articles

Global sunflower production to decline in 2025

Dec 24, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

Sunflower Extra: Forecasts say Russia and Ukraine are factors for the projected decrease. The USDA is forecasting global sunflower seed production for 2024-25 at 50.5 million metric tons (MMT), down 10% from 2023-24. Lower production in Ukraine and Russia is the leading factor for the decrease. Ukrainian and Russian sunflower production estimates remain murky due to the ongoing war, but production is expected to be about 11% lower than 2023.
What does the new year hold for sunflowers?

Nov 25, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

Before we look ahead to 2025, let’s see how the 2024 growing season turned out. In October, the USDA released its first production estimate of the 2024 sunflower crop. Two things stood out in the USDA production numbers. The first is that the combined oil and non-oil sunflower yield set another record at 1,889 pounds per acre. The second is that total sunflower production dropped 43% from 2023. That, of course, is the result of a sharp reduction in sunflower-planted acreage.
Sunflower production down from 2023

Oct 22, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

In October, the USDA released its first production estimate for the 2024 sunflower crop, pegging production at 1.3 billion pounds, down 42% from the revised 2023 production of 2.26 billion pounds. The USDA cut 3.64 million pounds from 2023 oil sunflower production and 2.19 million pounds from non-oil-type production from last year. Acreage updates were made in several states. Area planted, at 720,000 acres, is down 20% from the June estimate and down 45% from last year.
Oil-type sunflower acres drop almost 50%

Sep 24, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

Area planted to sunflower in 2024 decreased 46% from 2023 and totals 715,200 acres, according to the initial USDA Farm Service Agency crop acreage report. The planted area of oil-type varieties, at 593,930 acres, is down 49% from 2023. Planted acreage of non-oil varieties, estimated at 121,200 acres, is down 21% from last year. 2024 U.S. sunflower production is still undetermined and will not be known until later this year.
3 states score high on sunflower condition

Aug 22, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

Throughout the growing season, most of the sunflower crop has been rated as good to excellent in Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota. This should mean that yields will be above trend, assuming normal weather through fall and no early freeze. The exception to this has been Colorado and Kansas, where drought has most of the crop rated in fair condition, which will likely impact yields. Overall, most market analysts are expecting U.S. sunflower yields to be near the five-year average this year.
Sunflower acres continue to decrease

Jul 24, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

According to USDA, the area planted to sunflower in 2024 decreased 32% from 2023 and totals 898,500 acres. Harvested area for all types is expected to decrease 32% from last year to 862,600 acres as well. Planted area of oil-type varieties, at 765,000 acres, is down 34% from 2023. Harvested area for oil-types is expected to decrease 30% from last year to 736,500 acres. Planted acreage of non-oil varieties, estimated at 133,500, is down 13%from last year.
Global sunflower production up 1%

Jun 26, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

Global sunflower production in 2024-25 is forecast to increase 1% from the previous year to 55.4 million metric tons. USDA expects reduced production for Russia and Argentina, and increased for Ukraine, Turkey and the European Union. Ukraine’s sunflower production is forecast to recover slightly from 2023-24 as farmers shift planted area from grain in favor of oilseeds; however, the crop will remain much lower than pre-war levels.
Sunflower production to decrease

May 31, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

According to the USDA, growers intend to plant 957,500 acres of sunflowers in 2024, down 27% from 2023. Using a trend yield, the initial estimate of 2024 U.S. sunflower production is pegged at 1.6 billion pounds, which would represent a decrease of 30% from last year. Most of the reduction is anticipated in oil-type sunflowers, with intended acres at 804,000, down 31% from 2023.
Sunflower acres expected to decline

Apr 23, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

According to the USDA, growers intend to plant 957,500 acres of sunflowers in 2024, down 27% from 2023. Compared with last year, growers in all eight major sunflower-producing states expect a decrease in sunflower acreage this year. The largest decrease in planted area from last year is expected in South Dakota. Area intended for oil-type varieties, at 804,000 acres, is down 31% from 2023, with non-oil varieties estimated at 153,500 acres, which is about equal to last year.
What’s next for sunflower acres?

Mar 26, 2024 | farmprogress.com | John Sandbakken

Nearby prices at the crushing plants continue to face pressure from seed supplies that are burdensome. The 2022 crop was huge, and 2023 production was one of the best as well. Crop quality remains very good, and yields were above expectations in most cases. Supplies are big despite fewer planted sunflower acres in 2023. The crushers need time to use up the ample seed supply, and this is being reflected in the major price spread between nearby and deferred contracts.