Justin Wolfers

5 days ago | contrarian.substack.com | Justin Wolfers

A new report from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development projects a significant drop in global economic growth. Is it possible that this has anything to do with the tariff-happy posse in the White House? Jen is joined by Justin Wolfers to discuss the implications of continued economic deceleration, the chances of a bond market crisis in the U.S, and how the “crisis of competence” at the White House is set to worsen living standards around the globe.

1 month ago | contrarian.substack.com | Justin Wolfers

On Wednesday, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee will meet to set the interest rate with an expectation that it will hold steady at the 4.25% to 4.5% mark. Despite Trump publicly calling for cuts in the midst of economic upheaval, Jerome Powell, Chair of the Fed, remains committed to it’s independence. Jen is joined by Justin Wolfers to discuss a possible recession, Trump’s $1 trillion budget proposal, and fears of inflation.

1 month ago | contrarian.substack.com | Jared Bernstein |Justin Wolfers

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2 months ago | www1.folha.uol.com.br | Justin Wolfers

Essas tarifas vão machucar. Muito. Pelos meus cálculos, esta rodada de tarifas pode ser 50 vezes mais dolorosa do que aquelas que Donald Trump instituiu em seu primeiro mandato. Isso significa que elas vão remodelar a vida do americano de maneiras muito mais fundamentais. Para ilustrar como, vejamos um exemplo prosaico: a máquina de lavar. Em 2018, as tarifas relativamente modestas de Trump fizeram os preços das máquinas de lavar subirem quase US$ 100 (R$ 583).

2 months ago | portside.org | Justin Wolfers

Your Life Will Never Be the Same After These Tariffs Published April 4, 2025 These tariffs are going to hurt. A lot. By my calculations, this round of tariffs may be 50 times as painful as the ones Donald Trump instituted in his first term. That means they are going to reshape your life in much more fundamental ways. To illustrate how, let’s look at a prosaic example: your washing machine. In 2018, Mr. Trump’s relatively modest tariffs caused washing machine prices to rise by nearly $100.