Leon Sit

Sep 23, 2024 | split-ticket.org | Armin Thomas |Leon Sit

IntroductionSouth Texas’s sharp shift in 2020 to the Republican Party surprised many. This region is dominated by working-class Latinos, many of whom are Catholic, forming an overlap of the Texas Democratic Party’s historically strongest demographics. Even in Republican landslides such as Senator John Cornyn’s 2014 rout of David Alameel, South Texas stuck with the Democrats.

Sep 5, 2024 | split-ticket.org | Lakshya Jain |Max McCall |Leon Sit

With the election cycle in full swing and the electoral picture stabilizing, it can be easy to overreact to noise in individual polls and develop narratives around them. That's why today at Split Ticket, we’re releasing our polling aggregates for 2024. Our hope is that you can use them to develop a better insight of…

Mar 28, 2024 | opiniontoday.substack.com | Thomas Silver |Giacomo Squatriti |Leon Sit |Zach Vallese

Text within this block will maintain its original spacing when publishedFox News Poll: Over half of voters say they are worse off compared to 2020Dana Blanton, Fox NewsAre you better off than you were four years ago? That question was asked by Ronald Reagan during a decisive 1980 debate with then-President Jimmy Carter. Only about 1 in 5 voters today answers yes, according to the latest Fox News national survey.

Jan 12, 2024 | split-ticket.org | Leon Sit

In Part 1 of this article, we reviewed population changes since both the 2020 Census and the Dobbs decision. Although shifts in the distribution of population can be interesting, it directly relates to political power through reapportionment. With any national population estimate released by the Census Bureau, observers often turn ahead to 2030 to try to tease out the results of the next reapportionment cycle.

Dec 26, 2023 | split-ticket.org | Leon Sit

On Tuesday, state population totals from the Census Bureau’s annual population estimates were released, the first data covering population changes following the controversial Dobbs v. Jackson Supreme Court Decision. Before any conclusions are drawn, it is crucial to note the inherent margin of error found in all, and between all, population estimates.