Luke Mansillo

2 weeks ago | theguardian.com | Josh Nicholas |Luke Mansillo |Nick Evershed

As the 2025 Australian federal election approaches, political polls are coming thick and fast. This page will be regularly updated so you can track who is polling up, how the independents are faring and how the parties stand with different demographics. This first chart is based on a poll averaging model developed by political scientists at the University of Sydney. It factors in sample sizes, previous results and “house effects” (bias towards a party)of each pollster.

1 month ago | theguardian.com | Josh Nicholas |Luke Mansillo |Nick Evershed

As the 2025 Australian federal election approaches, political polls are coming thick and fast. This page will be regularly updated so you can track who is polling up, how the independents are faring and how the parties stand with different demographics. This first chart is based on a poll averaging model developed by political scientists at the University of Sydney. It factors in sample sizes, previous results and “house effects” (bias towards a party)of each pollster.

Nov 1, 2024 | theguardian.com | Josh Nicholas |Luke Mansillo |Nick Evershed

As the Australian federal election approaches, political polls are coming thick and fast. This page will be regularly updated so you can track who is polling up, how the independents are faring and how the parties stand with different demographics. This first chart is based on a poll averaging model developed by political scientists at the University of Sydney. It factors in sample sizes, previous results and “house effects” (bias towards a party)of each pollster.