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Megan Cassella
Megan Cassella @mmcassella
10 Apr 25

My apologies to all of the economists who now have to redo their models .... again ... with the 145% China tariff rate

Megan Cassella
Megan Cassella @mmcassella
10 Apr 25

Just broke on CNBC: A WH official confirms to me the new tariff against China this term now totals **145%**, not 125% as the President said yesterday. The EO spells out the “reciprocal” rate jumped from 84% to 125% overnight. Combined with the 20% fentanyl tariff, we’re at 145%

Megan Cassella
Megan Cassella @mmcassella
10 Apr 25

Really great work here from @ernietedeschi and team estimates that the new average effective U.S. tariff rate after the 90-day pause is still **25.3%** -- the highest since 1909. The estimate before the pause: 26.8%. Only a 1.5pp shift, despite it all

Ernie Tedeschi
Ernie Tedeschi @ernietedeschi

We've updated our @The_Budget_Lab tariff estimates in light of yesterday's announcement of a 90-day 10% "reciprocal" tariff and a 125% China tariff. Some key takeaways... 1/7