Articles

  • 1 week ago | nytimes.com | Michael Salfino

    Generally, hitters are correctly viewed as the back of their baseball cards. Any performance that deviates too far from that, especially regarding veteran hitters, is viewed as more of a fluke than a fact. Pitchers are different, given there are so many ways for them to radically improve or decline and sustain those new levels. Again, we should be skeptical when a player's hitting significantly changes. However, we now have new data: expected stats.

  • 2 weeks ago | nytimes.com | Michael Salfino

    Velocity is the holy grail all pitchers chase in today's game. In pursuit of it, they may not risk their lives, but they quite literally risk their limbs. With the year-over-year stats at Baseball Savant, we can actually spot the extreme outliers in gains and dips in 2025 vs. 2024. The results question the whole scheme. They do not prove beyond a reasonable doubt that extreme changes in velocity significantly impact performance or even rise to a civil standard of preponderance of evidence.

  • 3 weeks ago | nytimes.com | Michael Salfino

    There are many theories why the value of sports cards exploded during the pandemic but the fact itself is undeniable. The peak prices achieved then are viewed as an outlier, a bubble, something to be ignored when looking at the otherwise linear appreciation of vintage cards. But four years after that market peak of early 2021, that's not true for a subset of low-population cards of the long-retired athlete most identified with this period.

  • 3 weeks ago | ripped.topps.com | Michael Salfino

    May 14, 2025 Michael Salfino Baseball, Cards and Culture, MLB Nothing in sports sneaks up on us like the quarter turn in baseball. We go from, “It’s so early that these stats don’t mean anything” to, “Wait, the season is 25% over?” in what feels like a flash. With 40 games in the books, it’s time to assess how players vying for the major awards are performing. But actual stats are just one piece of the puzzle.

  • 3 weeks ago | ripped.topps.com | Michael Salfino

    May 14, 2025 Michael Salfino Baseball, Cards and Culture, MLB Nothing in sports sneaks up on us like the quarter turn in baseball. We go from, “It’s so early that these stats don’t mean anything” to, “Wait, the season is 25% over?” in what feels like a flash. With 40 games in the books, it’s time to assess how players vying for the major awards are performing. But actual stats are just one piece of the puzzle.

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Michael Salfino
Michael Salfino @MichaelSalfino
23 May 25

All of this Madness of King Trump and the market is only down 3% since he took office. Should be 30%.

Michael Salfino
Michael Salfino @MichaelSalfino
22 May 25

Dumber than his cult, which is hard to believe. Trump truly is a 20th percentile (sub)intellect.... Trump Says Autism ‘Has to Be Artificially Induced’ https://t.co/HTDTGO54ar via @politicalwire

Michael Salfino
Michael Salfino @MichaelSalfino
22 May 25

RT @RepThomasMassie: Here’s a sign of what’s in store if the big beautiful bill passes. Congress can do fantasy math, but when investors pu…