Miranda Priebe

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Articles

Quo Vadis, Russian Deterrence? Strategic Culture and Coercion Innovations

2 months ago | belfercenter.org | Barry R. Posen |Jennifer Lind |Miranda Priebe |John M. Schuessler

International Security International Security is America's leading peer-reviewed journal of security affairs. International Security Article from International Security Published: Winter 2024/25 Author Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky This article traces the impact of the Russo-Ukrainian War on the evolution of the Russian approach to coercion strategy.
Opinion | Here's why Trump's foreign policy is hard to pin down

Dec 28, 2024 | msnbc.com | Miranda Priebe

Dec. 28, 2024, 11:00 AM UTCIt is common to hear President-elect Donald Trump described as an isolationist. According to critics, Trump deserves this moniker because he would abandon the long-standing American strategy of deep engagement, which calls for promoting and protecting the liberal global order with U.S. economic and military power. But this isolationist characterization is off the mark.
Will Putin Stop at Ukraine?

Sep 20, 2024 | rand.org | Samuel Charap |Miranda Priebe

Topics Publisher: Taylor & Francis OnlineAvailability: Non-RAND Year: 2024 Pages: 17 Document Number: EP-70636 This publication is part of the RAND external publication series. Many RAND studies are published in peer-reviewed scholarly journals, as chapters in commercial books, or as documents published by other organizations. RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis.
The Day After: Postwar U.S. Strategy Toward Russia

Feb 9, 2024 | rand.org | Miranda Priebe |Samuel Charap

Four Alternative Futures Each future scenario includes a description of how international events evolve in the decade after the war ends and an assessment of how those events affect the aforementioned five U.S. interests. This future envisions a postwar decade of instability at many levels: on the ground in Ukraine, between Russia and NATO in Europe, and at the strategic level between the United States and its two main nuclear rivals, Russia and China.
Planning for the Aftermath: Assessing Options for U.S. Strategy Toward Russia After the Ukraine War

Feb 9, 2024 | rand.org | Samuel Charap |Miranda Priebe

Key Findings Not taking these longer-term factors into consideration could lead to missed opportunities to shape the postwar environment. These effects are not straightforward. Policymakers thus need time — long before the war ends — to consider these choices. The United States cannot determine the outcome of the war on its own; its decisions will never have the same impact as those of the two combatants.
Future U.S. Peacetime Policy Toward Russia

May 17, 2023 | rand.org | Miranda Priebe |Bryan Frederick |Alexandra T. Evans |Samuel Charap

After the Ukraine war ends, U.S.-Russian relations will remain hostile. But future U.S. policymakers will also need to balance competing demands and might therefore consider a peacetime limited less-hardline approach toward Russia. Using four historical case studies, the authors found that such approaches can lead to durable but narrow gains without emboldening the rival. But such policies may not prevent later deterioration of the relationship.
What Should Future U.S. Policy Toward Russia Be in Peacetime?

May 17, 2023 | rand.org | Miranda Priebe |Bryan Frederick |Alexandra T. Evans |Samuel Charap

Research Brief Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine has made a more constructive U.S.-Russia relationship implausible for the foreseeable future. However, once the fighting eventually stops, the United States will continue to face long-term structural incentives to improve the stability and predictability of its relations with Moscow. History has shown that relations between even bitter rivals can shift over time.
Ukraine Should Not Close Off Routes to the Negotiating Table

Mar 5, 2023 | rand.org | Samuel Charap |Miranda Priebe

Andriy Zagorodnyuk's column provides an important perspective on the future of the Russia-Ukraine war (“Pressure on Kyiv to open peace talks misreads Russia's deadly intentions,” Opinion, March 2).