Neil Greenberg

Sports Writer at The Washington Post

Sportswriter and stats geek (not nerd) for @washingtonpost. I got science for any occasion. Postulating theorems, formulating equations.

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Articles

The real 2025 NFL strength of schedule rankings

2 weeks ago | washingtonpost.com | Neil Greenberg

The real 2025 NFL strength of schedule rankings (washingtonpost.com) The real 2025 NFL strength of schedule rankings Most NFL strength of schedule rankings rely on the previous season’s won-loss records, but that approach is flawed. By Neil Greenberg 2025052113191200 We've known the who for months, but last week's NFL schedule release finally revealed the when, turning a list of regular season matchups into a 2025 road map for every team.
The favorite is the class of the Preakness field — but the odds are dismal

3 weeks ago | washingtonpost.com | Neil Greenberg

The favorite is the class of the Preakness field — but the odds are dismal (washingtonpost.com) The favorite is the class of the Preakness field — but the odds are dismal Journalism appears to be the best horse in the second leg of the Triple Crown, but with unappealing odds, you will have to do some work to get a reasonable payout. By Neil Greenberg 2025051614211400 The 150th Preakness Stakes arrives with a twist.
Why tougher opponents should lower Commanders’ expectations in 2025

3 weeks ago | fredericknewspost.com | Neil Greenberg

This relatively quiet period of the NFL offseason offers an enticing window to assess team outlooks. It’s a time of speculation and prognosis, not just for fans and front offices, but for oddsmakers, too. FanDuel, DraftKings and ESPNBet are among the bookmakers that have unveiled their early projections in the form of Super Bowl odds and regular season win totals, giving us an early look at expectations for the 2025 season.
Preakness Stakes odds, post positions, favorites and analysis

3 weeks ago | washingtonpost.com | Neil Greenberg

Preakness Stakes odds, post positions, favorites and analysis (washingtonpost.com) Preakness Stakes odds, post positions, favorites and analysis Here are the post positions and morning-line odds for the 2025 Preakness Stakes, with Journalism installed as the morning-line favorite.
Why tougher opponents should lower Commanders’ expectations in 2025

3 weeks ago | washingtonpost.com | Neil Greenberg

Why tougher opponents should lower Commanders’ expectations in 2025 (washingtonpost.com) Why tougher opponents should lower Commanders’ expectations in 2025 After their breakout performance in 2024, the going could get a bit tougher for the Washington Commanders this season. By Neil Greenberg 2025051012153500 This relatively quiet period of the NFL offseason offers an enticing window to assess team outlooks.
If it rains at the Kentucky Derby, bet on this horse to win

1 month ago | bostonglobe.com | Neil Greenberg

How would that impact the race? The Run for the Roses has seen a wet or sloppy track four times since it adopted its current qualification point system in 2012. In that time, one-dimensional front-runners have not performed well in the mud at the opening leg of the Triple Crown.
If it rains at the Kentucky Derby, bet on this horse to win

1 month ago | washingtonpost.com | Neil Greenberg

If it rains at the Kentucky Derby, bet on this horse to win (washingtonpost.com) If it rains at the Kentucky Derby, bet on this horse to win The forecast for Saturday’s Kentucky Derby includes a chance of rain, which should impact your betting strategy.
Kentucky Derby picks for trifecta and superfecta bets

1 month ago | washingtonpost.com | Neil Greenberg

Kentucky Derby picks for trifecta and superfecta bets (washingtonpost.com) Kentucky Derby picks for trifecta and superfecta bets This year’s race is shaping up to be a bettor’s dream, especially if you’re willing to discount morning-line favorite Journalism. By Neil Greenberg 2025050217245800 The 151st Kentucky Derby will be run Saturday at Churchill Downs, promising another thrilling chapter in the Run for the Roses.
With Rodriguez out, these two contenders could win the Kentucky Derby

1 month ago | washingtonpost.com | Neil Greenberg

With Rodriguez out, these two contenders could win the Kentucky Derby (washingtonpost.com) With Rodriguez out, these two contenders could win the Kentucky Derby Bob Baffert’s 12-1 long shot was the original Kentucky Derby pick, but after he scratched, look to Luxor Café and Sandman. By Neil Greenberg 2025050113052200 Note: After the publication of this story, Rodriguez scratched and will not run in the Kentucky Derby. The story has been updated.
Kentucky Derby 2025 odds, post positions, favourites and analysis

1 month ago | torontosun.com | Neil Greenberg

Journalism, the Santa Anita Derby champion, is the morning-line favourite (3-1). He has won four straight races, three of which were graded stakes, at three different tracks and is backed by an elite pedigree (by Curlin, the American Horse of the Year in 2007 and 2008, and out of a dam tied to Nyquist, winner of the 2016 Kentucky Derby). With triple-digit speed figures, tactical versatility and consistent improvement, he fits the profile of a Derby winner.