Nikolay Kozhanov

Jan 15, 2025 | ridl.io | Jeremy Morris |Nikolay Kozhanov |Yakov Feygin |Vladislav Inozemtsev

Discussion of the inflationary side effects of war spending in the Russian economy has been inconsistent. Even when observers note how, in the long term, today’s economic decisions are storing up trouble, many focus on a mistaken idea that a significant segment of Russians are feeling economic benefits, or that wartime spending means real gains (as a share of GDP) for labour (i.e. that gains are redistributive).

Dec 17, 2024 | theguardian.com | Nikolay Kozhanov

The fall of the Assad regime marks the end of a big chapter in Russia’s presence in the Middle East. However, this does not mean that Moscow is about to withdraw from the region. Its decision not to fight for Bashar al-Assad’s regime – instead airlifting him to Moscow, where he seems set to remain for now – looks more like an attempt to strengthen its presence in the Middle East by getting rid of a toxic asset.

Jun 29, 2024 | almendron.com | Nikolay Kozhanov

Iran’s presidential election on 28 June has underlined the uncertainty surrounding the future shape of relations between Tehran and Moscow. The two main supporters of rapprochement with Russia were the president Ebrahim Raisi and his foreign minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, who were both killed in a helicopter crash in May. Their deaths came before the two countries had managed to institutionalize relations in the form of a new long-term partnership agreement.

Apr 24, 2024 | bourseandbazaar.com | Nikolay Kozhanov

This article is part of a series exploring regional energy cooperation in the Gulf and is published in cooperation with Istituto Affari Internazionali. The 2022 Russian war against Ukraine has been both a gift and a curse for oil producers in the Persian Gulf. In the short term, the war has created restraint for the development of renewables, contributed to the high oil demand, and in doing so demonstrated the need for more international investment in oil exploration and drilling.

May 22, 2023 | manaramagazine.org | Nikolay Kozhanov

At the same time, the existing gains of GCC countries are, to an extent, counterbalanced by the market challenges created by the conflict. Firstly, Moscow is more and more successful in redirecting its export flows to Asia, the traditional consumer market of GCC exports. This, in turn, increases the intensity of competition.