Paul Murray

Jan 14, 2025 | actuarialpost.co.uk | Paul Murray |Swiss Re

Forecasting the future can be a notoriously tricky business, for reinsurers or anyone else. Ask Robert Metcalfe, the US tech pioneer and inventor of Ethernet technology who 30 years ago predicted in a magazine column that the internet "will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 will collapse." Even though Metcalfe's crystal ball was wildly off target, I still believe looking ahead with a critical, thoughtful eye has real value.