Paul Tomkins

2 months ago | tomkinstimes.substack.com | Paul Tomkins

As I noted very recently, the relationship between possessions and Foul Balance is the first time I’ve found a 99.9% correlation in football data. I wanted to take it a stage further, but in a shorter piece (under 2,000 words). Even a many-seasons study of goals scored, goals conceded and goal difference that I recently ran came out with 80-90% correlations to final league position.