Paulo M. Brando

Apr 17, 2024 | nature.com | Manoela Machado |Erika Berenguer |Paulo M. Brando |Ane A. Alencar |Imma Oliveras Menor |Jos Barlow

AbstractThe fire crises in the Amazon continues to increase the risk of large-scale forest dieback, threatening regional biodiversity and global climate. This issue gained international attention in 2019 when fires in the Brazilian Amazon led to a fire ban imposition. Despite the uncertainty of its impact, the fire ban was reenacted in subsequent years. Here we assess the effectiveness of each fire ban by comparing observed fire counts with climate-driven predictions of fire for 2019–2021.

Aug 31, 2023 | nature.com | YUE LI |Paulo M. Brando |David Lawrence

AbstractSeveral different drivers are contributing to climate change within the Amazon basin, including forcing from greenhouse gases and aerosols, plant physiology responses to rising CO2, and deforestation. Attribution among these drivers has not been quantified for Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate simulations.