Raphael J. Piliero

Oct 27, 2024 | thewirechina.com | Raphael J. Piliero |Ella Apostoaie |Bailey S. Marsheck

China today confronts a whirlwind of economic and geopolitical challenges: slowing growth rates, looming demographic decline, mounting debt levels, and a post-Covid confidence funk. Just five years ago, many were proclaiming the inevitable ascent of China. Today’s tune is different, with analysts asking: has China “peaked?”, and predicting Beijing seeks to reclaim Taiwan before its window of opportunity slams shut.

Aug 8, 2024 | aspistrategist.org.au | Raphael J. Piliero

Recent calls for Ukraine to join NATO are unrealistic at best and unwise at worst. Arguments advanced typically rely on a series of myths about membership: that NATO membership for Ukraine could plausibly end the war, that it would sustainably keep the peace, and that support for it is a realistic possibility.

Jul 16, 2024 | nationalinterest.org | Raphael J. Piliero |Kate Davidson |Peter Gaber

In June, Ukraine’s most powerful backers met at the G7 summit before attending Ukraine’s peace conference in Switzerland, which hosted representatives from nearly eighty countries. For one week, they met to discuss Volodymyr Zelensky’s ten-point peace plan, announced a plan to fund Ukraine using frozen Russian assets, and introduced a U.S.-Ukraine .

Jun 20, 2024 | russiamatters.org | Olga Kiyan |RM Associates |Kate Davidson |Raphael J. Piliero

June 20, 2024 Russian President Vladimir Putin’s post-inaugural reshuffles have created ripples in the pool of potential successors. Promoted to the rank of a vice premier, Dmitry Patrushev, son of ex-secretary of the Security Council Nikolai Patrushev, has been highlighted as a contender, as has Aleksey Dyumin, whom Putin has just made his assistant responsible for Russia’s sprawling defense industry.