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Oct 3, 2024 | 
aier.org | William Luther |VANCE GINN |Peter C. Earle |Richard Salsman
Monetary policy influences inflation, employment, and economic activity. A stable but dynamic monetary system is vital for supporting economic growth, individual liberty, and a prosperous society. Therefore, we examine the causes and consequences of monetary policy (including inflation), identify ideal and practical steps towards a better monetary policy regime, and look at monetary alternatives and financial regulation.
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Sep 19, 2024 | 
aier.org | Richard Salsman
For many months economists and market strategists have suggested that a pending Federal Reserve “pivot” from policy stasis to sustained rate cutting will boost equity prices or at least preclude them from declining.
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Aug 19, 2024 | 
aier.org | Richard Salsman
There’s strong and growing evidence that the “next” US recession has begun – or will begin soon. Of course, many economists will remain unsure about it, having not forecasted it, or because they refuse to forecast, or because they don’t believe something’s real until it passes them by (perhaps not even then).
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Jan 11, 2024 | 
capitalismmagazine.com | Richard Salsman
Alexander Hamilton was America’s most important Founding Father after Washington. What were the main features of his political economy? Many Jeffersonian libertarians today deride him as a statist – whether as a “monarchist,” mercantilist, protectionist, nationalist, erector of “central banking,” or proponent of “strong government” – and thus reject him as a proper guide in modern times.
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Sep 25, 2023 | 
msn.com | Richard Salsman
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Sep 25, 2023 | 
aier.org | Richard Salsman
Economic freedom in the world has plunged in recent years, due mainly to the interventions and fiscal-monetary profligacy associated with COVID shutdowns, mandates, and subsidies. The global measure is given in Figure One. This is a significant reversal of freedom’s increase between 2010 and 2019. But the downtrend is much worse and more prolonged in the US.
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Jul 11, 2023 | 
capitalismmagazine.com | Richard Salsman
No better, more reliable forecaster of the US business cycle has existed in recent decades than the initial shape of the US Treasury yield curve, and since last October it’s been signaling another US recession that’s likely to begin in 2024. This is important, because recessions have been associated with bear markets in stocks and bull markets in bonds. Moreover, if a recession arrives early in 2024 it may affect the US elections in November.
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Jul 11, 2023 | 
quoththeraven.substack.com | Richard Salsman
By Richard M. Salsman, American Institute for Economic ResearchNo better, more reliable forecaster of the US business cycle has existed in recent decades than the initial shape of the US Treasury yield curve, and since last October it’s been signaling another US recession that’s likely to begin in 2024. This is important, because recessions have been associated with bear markets in stocks and bull markets in bonds.
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Jul 10, 2023 | 
blog.independent.org | Richard Salsman
No better, more reliable forecaster of the US business cycle has existed in recent decades than the initial shape of the US Treasury yield curve, and since last October, it’s been signaling another US recession that’s likely to begin in 2024. This is important because recessions have been associated with bear markets in stocks and bull markets in bonds. Moreover, if a recession arrives early in 2024 it may affect the US elections in November.
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Jul 8, 2023 | 
msn.com | Richard Salsman
Disclaimer: We adhere to strict standards of editorial integrity to help you make decisions with confidence. All links marked with an asterisk ( * ) are paid links. Remember the Great Recession? If you do, chances are it’s not fondly — and if you were heavily involved in real estate, or underwater on a mortgage, then a decade-plus later you still may be licking your wounds.
