Roger Pielke

Sep 17, 2024 | journals.ametsoc.org | Garik Gutman |Roger Pielke |Richard Anthes |Pinhas Alpert

Keywords: Convection; Downslope winds; Mesoscale processes; Sea breezes; Vortices; History1. Early life and science in the USSRLev Gutman was born on 5 March 1923 and grew up in Moscow. His birthdate coincided with the date of Soviet Premier Josef Stalin’s death 30 years later in 1953.

Jul 16, 2024 | mdpi.com | Bo-Wen Shen |Roger Pielke |Xubin Zeng |Xiping Zeng

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Jul 16, 2024 | journals.ametsoc.org | Garik Gutman |Roger Pielke |Richard Anthes |Pinhas Alpert

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Jun 9, 2024 | econlib.org | David Henderson |Michael Munger |Roger Pielke |John Walsh

by Michael Munger, AIER, June 5, 2024. Excerpt:This seems paradoxical. The commercial system has delivered, consistently and broadly shared across the population. Yet having to participate in a system where one plans, saves, invests, and designs an individual “pursuit of happiness” is overwhelming the very people who should be grabbing all the new opportunities that the system has revealed to them. I think the explanation for the paradox is simple: Everything difficult has been banished.

Jun 3, 2024 | nature.com | Roger Pielke

For more than two decades, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has published a count of weather-related disasters in the United States that it estimates have exceeded one billion dollars (inflation adjusted) in each calendar year starting in 1980. The dataset is widely cited and applied in research, assessment and invoked to justify policy in federal agencies, Congress and by the U.S. President. This paper performs an evaluation of the dataset under criteria of procedure and substance defined under NOAA’s Information Quality and Scientific Integrity policies. The evaluation finds that the “billion dollar disaster” dataset falls short of meeting these criteria. Thus, public claims promoted by NOAA associated with the dataset and its significance are flawed and at times misleading. Specifically, NOAA incorrectly claims that for some types of extreme weather, the dataset demonstrates detection and attribution of changes on climate timescales. Similarly flawed are NOAA’s claims that increasing annual counts of billion dollar disasters are in part a consequence of human caused climate change. NOAA’s claims to have achieved detection and attribution are not supported by any scientific analysis that it has performed. Given the importance and influence of the dataset in science and policy, NOAA should act quickly to address this scientific integrity shortfall.