Roger Pielke

Editor at The Honest Broker by Roger Pielke Jr.

Articles

Do Not Use the ICAT Hurricane Loss “Dataset”: An Opportunity for Course Correction in Climate Science

2 months ago | journals.ametsoc.org | Roger Pielke

Keywords: Hurricanes/typhoons; Data quality control; Databases; Time series1. IntroductionMistakes and errors happen in scientific research. As astronomer Carl Sagan explained almost a half century ago: “Science is a self-correcting process. To be accepted, new ideas must survive the most rigorous standards of evidence and scrutiny.” This paper documents the appearance in peer-reviewed research of a fatally flawed dataset of historical economic losses from landfalling (continental) U.S. hurricanes.
Lev Gutman-A Pioneer in Theoretical Mesoscale Meteorology

Sep 17, 2024 | journals.ametsoc.org | Garik Gutman |Roger Pielke |Richard Anthes |Pinhas Alpert

Keywords: Convection; Downslope winds; Mesoscale processes; Sea breezes; Vortices; History1. Early life and science in the USSRLev Gutman was born on 5 March 1923 and grew up in Moscow. His birthdate coincided with the date of Soviet Premier Josef Stalin’s death 30 years later in 1953.
Exploring the Origin of the Two-Week Predictability Limit: A Revisit of Lorenz’s Predictability Studies in the 1960s

Jul 16, 2024 | mdpi.com | Bo-Wen Shen |Roger Pielke |Xubin Zeng |Xiping Zeng

All articles published by MDPI are made immediately available worldwide under an open access license. No special permission is required to reuse all or part of the article published by MDPI, including figures and tables. For articles published under an open access Creative Common CC BY license, any part of the article may be reused without permission provided that the original article is clearly cited. For more information, please refer to https://www.mdpi.com/openaccess.
Lev Gutman - A Pioneer in Theoretical Mesoscale Meteorology

Jul 16, 2024 | journals.ametsoc.org | Garik Gutman |Roger Pielke |Richard Anthes |Pinhas Alpert

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My Weekly Reading and Viewing for June 9, 2024

Jun 9, 2024 | econlib.org | David Henderson |Michael Munger |Roger Pielke |John Walsh

by Michael Munger, AIER, June 5, 2024. Excerpt:This seems paradoxical. The commercial system has delivered, consistently and broadly shared across the population. Yet having to participate in a system where one plans, saves, invests, and designs an individual “pursuit of happiness” is overwhelming the very people who should be grabbing all the new opportunities that the system has revealed to them. I think the explanation for the paradox is simple: Everything difficult has been banished.
Scientific integrity and U.S. “Billion Dollar Disasters” | npj Natural Hazards

Jun 3, 2024 | nature.com | Roger Pielke

For more than two decades, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has published a count of weather-related disasters in the United States that it estimates have exceeded one billion dollars (inflation adjusted) in each calendar year starting in 1980. The dataset is widely cited and applied in research, assessment and invoked to justify policy in federal agencies, Congress and by the U.S. President. This paper performs an evaluation of the dataset under criteria of procedure and substance defined under NOAA’s Information Quality and Scientific Integrity policies. The evaluation finds that the “billion dollar disaster” dataset falls short of meeting these criteria. Thus, public claims promoted by NOAA associated with the dataset and its significance are flawed and at times misleading. Specifically, NOAA incorrectly claims that for some types of extreme weather, the dataset demonstrates detection and attribution of changes on climate timescales. Similarly flawed are NOAA’s claims that increasing annual counts of billion dollar disasters are in part a consequence of human caused climate change. NOAA’s claims to have achieved detection and attribution are not supported by any scientific analysis that it has performed. Given the importance and influence of the dataset in science and policy, NOAA should act quickly to address this scientific integrity shortfall.
Israel’s culture of rape and child abuse

Apr 9, 2024 | alethonews.com | Vanessa Beeley |Roger Pielke

Israel’s culture of rape and child abuse By Vanessa Beeley | The Wall Will Fall | April 9, 2024“We Israelis are the biggest Holocaust deniers – The Jewish state learned that it can commit its own Holocaust in Gaza and deny that it exists” – Jonathan Ofir for Mondoweiss. Palestinian-American author Susan Abulhawa reports from her visit to Gaza:The reality on the ground is infinitely worse than the worst videos and photos that we’re seeing in the West.
Xi meets Lavrov, reaffirms China’s emphasis on partnership with Russia

Apr 9, 2024 | alethonews.com | Roger Pielke

Xi meets Lavrov, reaffirms China’s emphasis on partnership with Russia By Yang Sheng | Global Times | April 9, 2024 Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov on Tuesday in Beijing. Chinese analysts said the meeting sends a strong signal that China will firmly develop its strategic partnership with Russia, despite pressure from the West.
Why Did Washington Insist on the Kosovo War?

Apr 9, 2024 | alethonews.com | James George Jatras |Roger Pielke

Why Did Washington Insist on the Kosovo War? By James George Jatras | Ron Paul Institute | April 9, 2024The following remarks were delivered at a conference marking the 25th anniversary of the NATO bombing of Serbia: “The 1999 Red-Green Bombing Terror against Serbia,” held on March 20, 2024, at the Bundestag in Berlin hosted by MdB Dr. Rainer Rothfuß and his Alternative for Germany parliamentary group.
UK says will keep selling arms to Israel anyway

Apr 9, 2024 | alethonews.com | Roger Pielke

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