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Sean Trende

Senior Elections Analyst at RealClear Politics

Sr. Elections Analyst, @RCPolitics, Visiting Scholar, @AEI, Lecturer, @osupolisci. Recovering Attorney. Husband, Dad. Writes about elections, history and more.

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Articles

  • Mar 20, 2025 | penntoday.upenn.edu | Sean Trende |Meridith McGraw

    Skip to Content Skip to Content 3 min. read At a recent Penn forum, a panel of political pundits, analysts and former elected officials from both parties addressed the history and future of the GOP and the conservative movement. The Republican Party of the future, they said, is a new breed of conservative movement powered by populism with roots going back to the 1960s, thanks in part to the realignment of traditional party coalitions.

  • Feb 8, 2025 | agendapublica.es | Sean Trende

    Mientras se reúne la derecha radical europea en Madrid para celebrar la llegada de Donald Trump, Agenda Pública comparte, en exclusiva para España, la entrevista más relevante de uno de los ideólogos de cabecera del trumpismo. Lo advertimos: la entrevista es larga, pero vale la pena, y aborda las interioridades del complejo fenómeno de la nueva derecha radical en la que los propietarios de las grandes compañías tecnológicas tienen un papel clave.

  • Jan 21, 2025 | realclearpolling.com | Sean Trende

    In 1968, Kevin Phillips wrote a book called “The Emerging Republican Majority.” Its theory was that the 1952-1964 elections had demonstrated that the Republican Party had succeeded in breaking off southerners and working-class white voters in sufficient numbers that the days of the New Deal Coalition were behind us. At the time, Phillips’ idea seemed a stretch.

  • Nov 26, 2024 | fairfieldsuntimes.com | Sean Trende

    Now that states have begun to wrap up their vote counts, we can talk with more authority about the results from 2024. There’s been a fair amount of introspection already from Democrats, combined with the usual gnashing of teeth that accompanies a losing national campaign. One thing, which is important for elections analysis, that seems to be overlooked in the effort: The results were a near-perfect repeat of the 2021-23 election returns. We can start with the popular vote.

  • Nov 22, 2024 | bakerinstitute.org | Sean Trende |Ali Swenson |Rebecca Green |Molly Ball

    With the conclusion of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, Americans are left reflecting on a race that has redefined aspects of modern campaigning and voting. This historic election introduced new methods of voter engagement and technological advances in outreach strategies that have reshaped the electoral landscape. But one question remains: What will the outcomes mean for the future of American democracy?

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Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
26 Jun 25

RT @JKastellec: Happy to announce that Anthony Taboni and I have created a new dataset of the Supreme Court's Shadow Docket actions from 19…

Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
26 Jun 25

A friend’s read to the 7-2 opinions where Kagan joined the cons was that she might have done this to get a narrow opinion in Callais saying the Ps hadn’t disentangled race and politics. Maybe 50-50 after today.

Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
26 Jun 25

RT @daveweigel: Indeed — people can easily find his 2020 posts like “queer liberation means defund the police,” but that’s not how he ran.…