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Shane Oliver

Australia

Head of Inv Strategy & Chief Economist, AMP. Into boats, pop music, economics, investing, my family..& being nice. I don’t solicit funds/spruik trading schemes

Featured in: Favicon smh.com.au Favicon investing.com Favicon theage.com.au Favicon businessinsider.com.au Favicon barrons.com Favicon afr.com Favicon canberratimes.com.au Favicon brisbanetimes.com.au Favicon businesstimes.com.sg Favicon watoday.com.au

Articles

  • Risk of further falls, Inflation = rate cuts, Cost of living crisis, Lacklustre election

    1 month ago | sharecafe.com.au | Shane Oliver

    By Dr Shane Oliver, Chief Economist and Head of Investment Strategy at AMP. Investment markets and key developmentsThe rebound in shares continued over the last week helped by talk of trade deals, including with China, and Trump continuing to back track on tariffs along with good US earnings reports.

  • Seven reasons Australia is likely to avoid recession from Trump’s shock

    2 months ago | livewiremarkets.com | Shane Oliver

    President Trump’s trade war poses a threat to Australian economic growth particularly via the indirect impact of weaker global activity driving less demand for our exports and lower commodity prices. Australia is likely to avoid a recession though reflecting the shock absorber of a lower $A, plenty of scope to cut interest rates and election promises pointing to handouts ahead. The trade war has a way to go yet but at least Trump is starting to blink.

  • The 2025 Australian Federal election - implications for investors

    Mar 11, 2025 | firstlinks.com.au | Shane Oliver |Ashley Owen |James Gruber |Andrew Mitchell

    Reader: "Great resource.

  • Australian home prices turning back up again

    Mar 2, 2025 | finnewsnetwork.com.au | Shane Oliver

    Dr Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist at AMP, discusses home prices. The key points are:CoreLogic data shows average home prices rose 0.3% in February, after a brief three-month downturn of just 0.4%. The upswing came in anticipation of, and then confirmation of, an RBA rate cut which boosted buyer confidence. Annual growth in rents slowed to 4.1%yoy, the slowest since 2021.

  • Tariff Man hits shares, Inflation falling = more cuts, Elections, Disappointing earnings reports

    Feb 28, 2025 | finnewsnetwork.com.au | Shane Oliver

    Dr Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy & Chief Economist at AMP, discusses developments in investment markets over the past week, economic activity trackers, major global economic events and Australian economic events. Investment markets and key developmentsGlobal share markets fell again over the last week on the back of increasing concerns about the economic outlook with weaker data out of the US and new tariffs from Tariff Man along with concerns the AI share boom may be over.

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Shane Oliver
Shane Oliver @ShaneOliverAMP
26 Jun 25

The main industries for jobs growth over the year to May in Australia were health care, professional and financial services. Wholesale trade, manufacturing and construction saw job losses. https://t.co/eXTwId6yNV

Shane Oliver
Shane Oliver @ShaneOliverAMP
26 Jun 25

Australian household wealth rose 0.8%qoq in the March quarter with land and dwelling wealth up 1.2%qoq, but superannuation -0.4% as US tariff announcements hit shares. Expect gains in both this qtr. This points to a mild +ve wealth effect boost to consumer spending. (ABS Chart) https://t.co/ttkS6aLw0I

Shane Oliver
Shane Oliver @ShaneOliverAMP
26 Jun 25

Here’s a comparison with ABS job vacancies v other job ads data. The others are a bit softer. https://t.co/uuc0iYQN6g