Shawn Robbins

Founder and Owner at Box Office Theory

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Articles

Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH Eyes Another #1 Frame as BALLERINA ($26-30M+) Opens and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Commands IMAX for Another Weekend - Box Office Theory

3 days ago | boxofficetheory.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Will SUPERMAN ($154M-175M+) Soar to 2025’s Best Opening, Potential Milestones for DC and James Gunn?

1 week ago | boxofficetheory.substack.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears on Box Office Theory’s website. Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:James Gunn’s Superman is positioned as one of this summer’s marquee tentpoles with a mid-July date that’s housed multiple franchise mega-performers in recent years.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE to Remain In Command, KARATE KID: LEGENDS ($15M+) Likely to Underperform vs. Expectations - Box Office Theory

1 week ago | boxofficetheory.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH ($116-135M 5-Day), Plus Significant Updates on KARATE KID: LEGENDS and BALLERINA

2 weeks ago | boxofficetheory.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter. Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:Jurassic World Rebirth is positioned as this year’s marquee Fourth of July tentpole in theaters. Scarlett Johansson’s takeover in the leading role, alongside an entirely new cast, comes with a mixed bag of expectations as this will essentially serve as a soft reboot of the franchise.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH ($190M-200M+ 4-Day) and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - THE FINAL RECKONING ($75M-80M+) Barreling Toward Record $325M+ Memorial Frame - Box Office Theory

2 weeks ago | boxofficetheory.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: F1 ($47M+) and M3GAN 2.0 ($16-21M) Early Prospects; LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Continue Pacing for Historic Memorial Day Frame - Box Office Theory

3 weeks ago | boxofficetheory.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter. Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:F1‘s trailer launches have generated great traction (no pun intended) across social channels in recent months as excitement among Formula One racing and action movie fans begins to escalate for the summer tentpole.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: FINAL DESTINATION: BLOODLINES ($36M+), THUNDERBOLTS*, SINNERS and HURRY UP TOMORROW to Present a Formidable Calm Before Memorial Day’s Storm - Box Office Theory

3 weeks ago | boxofficetheory.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: 28 YEARS LATER ($41M+) and Pixar’s ELIO ($34M+); Disney’s LILO & STITCH ($130-145M+ 4-Day), MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE and DRAGON Pre-Sales Updates - Box Office Theory

4 weeks ago | boxofficetheory.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter. Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:28 Years Later is positioned as the likely horror centerpiece of summer 2025 with a prime mid-late June release date following what multiple outlets reported last December was the second-most viewed horror trailer online in history behind It: Chapter Two.
Box Office Weekend Forecast: THUNDERBOLTS*, a.k.a. THE NEW AVENGERS ($35M+) and SINNERS ($24M+) to Continue Reign Over a Relatively Quiet Mother’s Day Frame - Box Office Theory

1 month ago | boxofficetheory.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter. A brief reprieve from major studio releases is on hand this weekend as the crop of late spring box office hits get a chance to stretch their legs before the early summer slate resumes in earnest over the next few weeks.
Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON ($65M+) Live-Action Prospects, Sights on MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE and FINAL DESTINATION’s Pre-Sales, & More - Box Office Theory

1 month ago | boxofficetheory.com | Shawn Robbins

This report also appears in Box Office Theory’s Substack newsletter. Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:This week’s headline addition to the public forecast, How to Train Your Dragon, is positioned as one of the cornerstone family films of summer 2025.

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Shawn Robbins @ShawnRobbinsWho

21 May 25

Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH ($190M-200M+ 4-Day) and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE – THE FINAL RECKONING ($75M-80M+) Barreling Toward Record $325M+ Memorial Frame Newsletter: https://t.co/KT9LgHIoWg Website: https://t.co/KDLsovHQzE #LiloAndStitch #MissionImpossible https://t.co/Tnacaa3vnw

Shawn Robbins @ShawnRobbinsWho

16 May 25

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: F1 ($47M+) and M3GAN 2.0 ($16-21M) Early Prospects; LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Continue Pacing for Historic Memorial Day Frame Newsletter: https://t.co/dIhkYmJgVV Website: https://t.co/zgEZWDclVf #F1Movie #M3GAN2 #LiloandStitch https://t.co/AUsluUi8JZ

Shawn Robbins @ShawnRobbinsWho

15 May 25

Box Office Weekend Forecast: FINAL DESTINATION: BLOODLINES ($36M+), THUNDERBOLTS*, SINNERS and HURRY UP TOMORROW to Present a Formidable Calm Before Memorial Day’s Storm Newsletter: https://t.co/TlC3QZz2rA Website: https://t.co/jrzLMxSGFv #FinalDestinationBloodlines https://t.co/5g7pC28jpS

Shawn Robbins

Articles

Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH Eyes Another #1 Frame as BALLERINA ($26-30M+) Opens and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Commands IMAX for Another Weekend - Box Office Theory

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: Will SUPERMAN ($154M-175M+) Soar to 2025’s Best Opening, Potential Milestones for DC and James Gunn?

Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE to Remain In Command, KARATE KID: LEGENDS ($15M+) Likely to Underperform vs. Expectations - Box Office Theory

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH ($116-135M 5-Day), Plus Significant Updates on KARATE KID: LEGENDS and BALLERINA

Box Office Weekend Forecast: LILO & STITCH ($190M-200M+ 4-Day) and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - THE FINAL RECKONING ($75M-80M+) Barreling Toward Record $325M+ Memorial Frame - Box Office Theory

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: F1 ($47M+) and M3GAN 2.0 ($16-21M) Early Prospects; LILO & STITCH and MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE Continue Pacing for Historic Memorial Day Frame - Box Office Theory

Box Office Weekend Forecast: FINAL DESTINATION: BLOODLINES ($36M+), THUNDERBOLTS*, SINNERS and HURRY UP TOMORROW to Present a Formidable Calm Before Memorial Day’s Storm - Box Office Theory

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: 28 YEARS LATER ($41M+) and Pixar’s ELIO ($34M+); Disney’s LILO & STITCH ($130-145M+ 4-Day), MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE and DRAGON Pre-Sales Updates - Box Office Theory

Box Office Weekend Forecast: THUNDERBOLTS*, a.k.a. THE NEW AVENGERS ($35M+) and SINNERS ($24M+) to Continue Reign Over a Relatively Quiet Mother’s Day Frame - Box Office Theory

Box Office Tracking & Forecasts: HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON ($65M+) Live-Action Prospects, Sights on MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE and FINAL DESTINATION’s Pre-Sales, & More - Box Office Theory

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