Shmuel Rosner
Senior Political Editor at Jewish Journal (Los Angeles)
Contributing Opinion Columnist at The New York Times
הקיפוד והשועל, המדד, כאן חדשות, המכון למדיניות העם היהודי, מעריב, Jewish Journal. מכבד מחלוקות, וחוסם את כל מי שמגיב בצורה לא מנומסת.
Articles
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1 week ago |
jewishjournal.com | Shmuel Rosner
A key takeaway from John Lewis Gaddis’ book “On Grand Strategy” — recommended reading that was translated to Hebrew not long ago — resonates profoundly: a nation fails to achieve its objectives when it does not align its goals with its capabilities. From this principle, all else follows: The Chief of the IDF warns the politicians that there aren’t enough soldiers to fulfill their aspirations.
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2 weeks ago |
jewishjournal.com | Shmuel Rosner
These are the two most frightening words in Israeli conversation. Civil War. Or maybe it’s these two? Deep State. Frightening, trendy words. Soon, other expressions will replace them, but these are the ones currently in circulation. We talk about them. In fact, the word “talk” doesn’t quite fit this case. We “utter,” “yell,” “hiss” and”scream.” The threat of a civil war, real or imagined, was recently highlighted by former Supreme Court President Aharon Barak. I wrote about it two weeks ago.
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3 weeks ago |
jewishjournal.com | Shmuel Rosner
A vast majority of Israeli Jews agree on one thing: “There is no chance for a peace agreement with the Palestinians in the foreseeable future.” Are you surprised? Probably not. You didn’t fall off your chair, right? How big is this majority of no hope? According to the latest JPPI survey, 84%. That’s up five points from the same question last year. In other words, Israeli Jews were already skeptical about peace. Now, they’re even more so.
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4 weeks ago |
jewishjournal.com | Shmuel Rosner
Former Supreme Court President Aharon Barak warned Israelis last week that “we are very close to a civil war.” His statement stirred a storm. For several years now, whenever Barak speaks, a storm arises. And a talk about the possibility of a civil war is a hard pill to swallow. If you follow the news from Israel you know that the country is internally unwell. Polarization is high, moderation in short supply. Can this push Israel as far as a civil war? Let’s think about it in three steps.
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1 month ago |
jewishjournal.com | Shmuel Rosner
Surprises can be delightful. A woman surprises her husband with tickets to his favorite band’s concert. He surprises her with pearl earrings she has wanted for years. But in international relations, surprises are problematic. Nations plan their moves in advance, and surprises disrupt these plans. A country formulates policies, and surprises force updates. A nation designs a work plan, and surprises ruin it. A country prepares for one thing and suddenly faces another.
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מצד אחד ומצד שני. מצד אחד: איני מבין מה התועלת במכתב הטייסים המיותר. מצד שני: איני מבין מה התועלת בהדחת הטייסים המיותרת.
כמה מאזינים כבר תהו על הכותרת: ״בלי משה, היינו יוצאים ממצרים?״ והם צודקים. הפרק החדש כמעט לא נוגע במשה ובמצרים. הכותרת ניתנה לרגל הזמן: ערב פסח. הפרק עצמו, למי שטרם האזינו, עוסק בכמה ספרים ובכמה רעיונות שיש בהם כדי ללמד אותנו דבר או שניים על מקומו של המנהיג בשינוי ההיסטוריה. זה https://t.co/i3zaS9vpaa
מעת לעת צריך תזכורת לכך שכל המנהיגים - קשוחים, עקשנים, אידיאליסטים, דווקנים, מהפכנים ככל שיהיו - כולם כולם נאלצים להיכנע כאשר הם נתקעים בקיר הבטון של מה שנכנה כאן ״המציאות״.
