Simon Moore

Seattle

Senior Contributor at Forbes

Focused on the intersection of tech and investing.

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Articles

As Fed Enters Blackout Period, June Meeting Expected To Hold Rates Steady

6 days ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

Ahead of its next interest rate decision on June 11, Federal Open Market Committee members are now in a blackout period. This limits public comments on monetary policy. Recent speeches suggest that June’s meeting will result in holding rates at their current 4.25% to 4.5% level. The CME FedWatch Tool, which gauges the implied forecast of fixed income markets implies it is almost a certainty that rates are held steady in June.
What To Expect From May’s CPI Inflation Report

1 week ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

The Consumer Price Index inflation report for May will be released on June 11. Inflation nowcasting from the Atlanta Federal Reserve estimates 0.12% headline monthly inflation for May and 0.23% when food and energy prices are removed. That would be similar to the 0.2% monthly CPI price increase reported in April for both headline and adjusted for food and energy..
¿Qué decidirá la Fed en junio? La clave está en los datos económicos

2 weeks ago | forbesargentina.com | Amura CMS |Simon Moore

Simon Moore Los funcionarios de la Reserva Federal se preparan para una reunión decisiva, en la que las señales del mercado laboral y la evolución de los precios influirán en sus próximos pasos. Se espera que el Comité Federal de Mercado Abierto (FOMC) mantenga estables las tasas de interés en su próxima decisión del 18 de junio, según indican los mercados de renta fija.
What To Expect For Interest Rates From The Fed’s June Meeting

2 weeks ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to hold rates steady at its upcoming decision on June 18, according to fixed income markets. However, the meeting may be significant in shaping expectations for monetary policy for the remainder of 2025. That’s because policymakers will update expectations for the Summary of Economic Projections, which includes a forecast for interest rates. This may, in turn, depend on data on jobs and inflation in the weeks leading up to the meeting.
The 2025 Fed Meeting Calendar And What Markets Expect For Interest Rates

3 weeks ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

Interest rates have been held steady as the Federal Open Market Committee have held three of its eight scheduled meetings of 2025. Markets expect that the FOMC will cut rates from their current level of 4.25% to 4.5% by December, probably to under 4%. However, any potential cuts are now expected for interest rates depending on how the economy performs.
Tariffs: Hard And Soft Data Tell Two Very Different Stories, For Now

1 month ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

There’s a stark difference between recently positive economic news, and what forecasts, including President Trump’s suggest about tariffs. April’s jobs report was strong with a healthy 177,000 jobs added and unemployment stable at 4.2%. Rather than sharply rising prices, we’ve seen some slight disinflation to March 2025. The stock market has rallied sharply off April’s lows. This is good news and all implies a limited U.S. economic impact from tariffs for the initial months of 2025.
What To Expect From April’s CPI Inflation Report

1 month ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

April’s Consumer Price Index inflation report, scheduled for release on May 13, should may another relatively muted inflation reading according to nowcasts. That may support an interest rate cut in June. However, tariffs remain a wildcard. Nowcast Forecasts For InflationNowcasts project broadly 0.2% monthly inflation for the month of April, according to the models of the Cleveland Federal Reserve.
What To Look For From The Fed’s May Meeting

1 month ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

The Federal Open Market Committee will next announce interest rates on May 7 at 2 p.m. Eastern Time. Fixed income markets firmly expect short-term interest rates to remain in their current band of 4.25% to 4.5%. However, it is also likely that interest rates could then be cut at the subsequent FOMC decision on June 18, so fixed income markets will be watching for hints of that. If so, that may come either through the statement or the press conference.
Here’s What Early Data Shows On Tariffs’ Impact On The Economy

1 month ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

As tariffs have been implemented and then adjusted it will take weeks for official economic data to fully capture the impact of tariffs on economic activity. That’s in part due to reporting lags in official economic data and because supply chains themselves take time. For example shipping freight by sea from China to the U.S. east coast can take several weeks. Plus for imported good to then be sold or used can take longer still.
Trump Removing Fed Chair Powell May Spook Markets, Here’s Why

1 month ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

President Trump has made critical comments about Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s performance in recent weeks. Trump wrote that, “there can be a SLOWING of the economy unless Mr. Too Late, a major loser, lowers interest rates, NOW.” Trump made these comments on social media on April 21.