Simon Moore

Seattle

Senior Contributor at Forbes

Focused on the intersection of tech and investing.

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Articles

Here’s What The Market Expects The Fed To Do In 2025 After Tariffs

1 week ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

Fixed income markets still project a handful of interest rate cuts from the Federal Open Market Committee in 2025 according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Those expectations have been relatively steady despite recent market volatility. Even though short-term rate expectations have not changed much, rates on longer term bonds have increased and the FOMC may alter their plan for rates as data comes in. Already policymakers’ forecasts for the U.S. economy in 2025 are evolving.
Schneller als der Tod

1 week ago | hoerzu.at | Simon Moore

» Sharon zieht immer noch schneller als die Kerle « Der große Schießwettbewerb in Redemption ist seit Jahren der Anlaufpunkt für viele Revolverhelden. Doch die junge Ellen ist nicht dort, um das Turnier zu gewinnen, sie will den Tod ihres Vaters rächen. Was für eine glückliche Fügung, dass der Mörder ihres Vaters ausgerechnet Veranstalter und Teilnehmer des Wettbewerbs ist...
Recession Fear Spikes On Tariff Announcement

2 weeks ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

U.S. recession risks have risen sharply with the announcement of new tariffs. The chance of a U.S. recession is estimated at 56% by Polymarket and 60% by Kalshi, both relatively liquid prediction markets. Stock markets have also fallen with the S&P 500 currently 9% lower since the announcement of tariffs. That’s in addition to a weak start to 2025.
Fed Not Seen Cutting Rates At May Meeting

3 weeks ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

Fixed income markets expect the Federal Open Market Committee to hold interest rates steady on May 7. That’s because inflation is “somewhat elevated” and the job market appears “solid” as stated in the FOMC’s March statement. Based on this reading of the economy, FOMC officials have shown patience in approaching further rate cuts. However, there is considerable economic uncertainty and survey data has become more pessimistic due, in part, to current and expected tariffs.
Mortgage Rates Still Expected To Decline Slightly In 2025

4 weeks ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

Interest rate cuts could help move mortgage rates a little lower in 2025. according to most forecasts. However, mortgage costs may remain in a 6% to 7% band.
When To Expect The Fed To Cut Interest Rates Again

1 month ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

The next interest rate cut will most likely come in June according to fixed income markets. The Federal Open Market Committee has held interest rates steady at meetings in January and March. The pause in interest rate cuts has primarily been due to waiting for further progress on disinflation at a time when the job market appears robust. However, economic uncertainty has risen, clouding the outlook for monetary policy.
2025 Recession Risk In Balance, Here Are The Latest Factors

1 month ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

Prediction markets imply a 40% chance of recession in 2025. Reported economic data has been generally positive, so far. However, forward-looking indicators, including the stock market suggests risks may be on the horizon. Here’s what the data is telling us, so far. Economic Data Has Been Good, So FarDespite recession predictions, recent key economic data has been generally good. Q4 annualized Gross Domestic Product growth rose at a healthy 2.3% rate on the most recent estimate.
Jerome Powell analiza el nuevo escenario mientras crecen las expectativas por el informe de inflación de abril en EE.UU

1 month ago | forbesargentina.com | Simon Moore

El Índice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC) de marzo se publicará el 10 de abril. Se espera que la inflación mensual se mantenga estable, en parte por la baja en los precios de la energía. Sin embargo, el IPC subyacente podría subir entre 0,2 % y 0,3 %, según las últimas estimaciones de corto plazo de los modelos de la Reserva Federal de Cleveland. El informe de febrero mostró una inflación mensual del 0,2 %, tanto en el índice general como en el subyacente.
What To Expect From April’s CPI Inflation Report

1 month ago | forbes.com | Simon Moore

The next Consumer Price Index report for the month of March will be released on April 10. Expectations are that headline monthly inflation will be flat due, in part, to falling energy prices. However, core CPI may rise 0.2% to 0.3%. That’s according to latest nowcast estimates from Cleveland Federal Reserve models. March’s CPI Report for the month of February showed 0.2% monthly headline inflation and the same rate for core inflation.
Necessity for modeling hormonal crosstalk in arabidopsis root development?

1 month ago | cell.com | Simon Moore |Junli Liu |Chunli Chen |Keith Lindsey

Keywordshormonal crosstalksimultaneous patterning of hormonesspatiotemporal modelingPIN patterninggene expressionintegrative modelThe need for integrative modeling in arabidopsis root growthIn Arabidopsis thaliana primary root growth is determined by the balance between three fundamental processes: (i) cell division in the root apical meristem (RAM), (ii) elongation of the cells that leave the RAM, and (iii) cell differentiation.