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2 weeks ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
The Bank of Canada kept interest rates at a second consecutive policy decision on Wednesday, continuing to cite massive uncertainty around U.S. trade policy. That no doubt came as a disappointment to the tens of thousands of realtors in the Greater Toronto Area. And we know this because the realtors told us, just hours before the central bank’s decision.
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2 weeks ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
In this edition of The Notebook, we look at the major shift in Canada’s infrastructure and regulatory strategy under Prime Minister Mark Carney. We’re also diving into the fresh legal blows to President Donald Trump’s tariffs, as well as the growing risk that the trade war could morph into a capital war. And finally, we’ll check in on some new GDP data out of Statistics Canada.
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3 weeks ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
Over the past week, two bits of news have underscored how it’s not just Trump’s tariffs that pose a major threat to Canadian prosperity. We also need to consider whether the U.S. is a reliable custodian of our nation’s savings.
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3 weeks ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
In this edition of The Notebook, we mine new survey data from Statistics Canada to take a peek under the hood of Canadian household finances—what we’re spending, where it’s going and even who’s benefiting most from the Liberal government’s marquee child care program. We also examine the coming budget debate over what qualifies as investment spending, and take a quick look at Mark Carney’s mandate letters and Pierre Poilievre’s new economic advisory council.
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4 weeks ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
Who’s standing up for Canada’s poorest families? While there has been near-total political consensus around the need for retaliatory tariffs, it’s Canada’s poor who may be paying the heaviest price, literally at the grocery store. The latest inflation data, released Tuesday by Statistics Canada, show the extent to which Canada’s counter-tariffs on U.S. goods are driving up food prices here. On a seasonally adjusted basis, food prices have jumped 4.4 percent since January (or 18 percent annualized).
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1 month ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
In this edition of the Notebook, we explore Mark Carney’s surprising decision to delay the federal budget and unpack the real-world consequences of Canada’s retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods. Finally, we examine the strange math behind the government’s revenue projections. The Joe Clark budget maneuverIn his first real act as finance minister, Francois-Philippe Champagne announced the government won’t produce a spring budget.
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1 month ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
In this edition, we look at what Mark Carney’s cabinet picks on Tuesday may reveal about his governing instincts, especially on the economic front. We also take stock of the latest developments on the Canada–U.S. trade file, and what the labour market is telling us about how economic uncertainty is starting to bite. Mark Carney will begin laying down key markers this week for how he plans to govern. He’ll announce his cabinet in the coming days, and possibly some senior staff appointments.
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1 month ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
Political scientists, pundits, and pollsters will spend months dissecting the 2025 federal election results in search of deeper meaning on the hows and whys Canadians voted the way they did. Why did older Canadians and women ? Why were men ? There’s also evidence the Conservatives may have made gains among and some immigrant communities—so what drove these shifts?
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1 month ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
If there were any questions about what kind of government Mark Carney wants to lead, the freshly elected prime minister sought to put them to bed at his first press conference yesterday. “I’m in politics to do big things, not to be something,” Carney told reporters on Friday, four days after winning a strong minority in Parliament. “Now that Canadians have honoured me with a mandate to bring about big changes quickly.
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1 month ago | 
thehub.ca | Theophilos Argitis
This isn’t intended as media criticism, but it’s worth noting how the 37-day federal election campaign—which ends today—evolved when viewed through the questions reporters asked at Mark Carney’s first press conference compared to his last. At his first press conference, immediately after calling the election on March 23, reporters probed Carney’s decision to go to an election and the credibility of his promises.
