Tom Orlik

Washington, D.C., United States

Chief Economist at Bloomberg News

Chief Economist, Bloomberg Economics. Author of China: The Bubble that Never Pops (OUP, June 25 2020) Opinions are my own

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Articles

Kina je naučila da prihvati ono što su SAD zaboravile

1 week ago | ba.bloombergadria.com | Tom Orlik

Podijeli vijest Pogled 14. april 2025, 07:00 Kina se suočava s porastom američkih carina koje nameće predsjednik Donald Trump. Njezino tržište nekretnina polagano se urušava. Njezino gospodarstvo opada. Dakle, hoće li premijer Li Qiang objaviti ono čemu su se tržišta nadala na ovomjesečnom Nacionalnom narodnom kongresu? Nemojte na to računati.
Kina je naučila da prihvati ono što su SAD zaboravile

1 week ago | rs.bloombergadria.com | Tom Orlik

Podeli vest Pogled 11. april 2025, 06:54 Kina se suočava sa povećanjem američkih carina koje uvodi predsednik Donald Trump. Kinesko tržište nekretnina postepeno se urušava, a ekonomija beleži pad. Dakle, da li će premijer Li Qiang na zasedanju Nacionalnog narodnog kongresa ovog meseca najaviti snažne podsticaje koje tržišta željno iščekuju? Ne računajte na to.
Stagflation Looms Over US Economy as Tariffs Soar to Historic Highs

2 weeks ago | bloomberg.com | Tom Orlik

Americans should brace for a toxic combination of weak growth and high prices. In Gravity’s Rainbow, Thomas Pynchon’s sprawling World War II epic, a rocket engineer testing his latest design stands at the exact point it would land if everything worked perfectly. His reasoning: The complexities and uncertainties in the new technology are so great that a bull’s-eye is the least likely outcome.
China Learned to Embrace What the US Forgot: The Virtues of Creative Destruction

1 month ago | bloomberg.com | Tom Orlik

Bloomberg Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the world For Customers Bloomberg Anywhere Remote Login Software Updates Manage Products and Account Information Support Americas+1 212 318 2000 EMEA+44 20 7330 7500 Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000 Company About Careers Diversity and Inclusion Tech At Bloomberg Philanthropy Sustainability Bloomberg London...
A ‘bolha’ que resiste: como a China conseguiu evitar previsões sobre crise e colapso

2 months ago | bloomberglinea.com.br | Tom Orlik

Bloomberg — Em 2001, Gordon Chang publicou um livro que concorre ao prêmio de livro mais equivocado sobre a China de todos os tempos.
¿Por qué la burbuja económica de China aún no ha estallado?

2 months ago | bloomberglinea.com | Tom Orlik

Bloomberg — Cuando Tom Orlik, economista jefe de Bloomberg Economics, publicó China: The Bubble That Never Pops (Oxford University Press) en 2020, la economía china se enfrentaba a amenazas en múltiples frentes. Tras el milagro económico de las décadas anteriores, parecía que se avecinaba una espiral descendente. En este capítulo, Orlik revisa su tesis y explica por qué la burbuja china aún no ha estallado.
DeepSeek Adds Urgency to the AI Job Loss Debate: Essay

2 months ago | news.bloomberglaw.com | Tom Orlik |David Wilcox

For investors in artificial intelligence, the last week delivered a painful shock. The sudden appearance of DeepSeek — a Chinese AI firm boasting a world-class model developed at bargain-basement costs — triggered a massive selloff in Nvidia and other US tech champions. What matters for the economy, though, is not the ups and downs of stock prices for the Magnificent Seven, but whether AI drives gains in productivity, and how those gains are divided up.
Why The China Bubble Still Hasn’t Popped

2 months ago | bloomberg.com | Tom Orlik

Bloomberg Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the world For Customers Bloomberg Anywhere Remote Login Software Updates Manage Products and Account Information Support Americas+1 212 318 2000 EMEA+44 20 7330 7500 Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000 Company About Careers Diversity and Inclusion Tech At Bloomberg Philanthropy Sustainability Bloomberg London...
Las claves para entender por qué las acciones de Trump impactarán más en 2026

2 months ago | elfinanciero.com.mx | Tom Orlik

El segundo mandato de Donald Trump marca un giro inédito en la política estadounidense, cargado de ironías que definirán su legado. Desde el principio, su ascenso estuvo impregnado de situaciones donde el resultado fue el opuesto de lo esperado: Biden, al intentar alejar a Estados Unidos del trumpismo, terminó entregándole el país nuevamente.
Trump evita concretar sus amenazas arancelarias en las primeras horas en la Casa Blanca

Jan 21, 2025 | elpais.com | Ignacio Fariza |Tom Orlik |Chris Turner

Mano dura contra la inmigración y las políticas verdes, pero pocas novedades sobre sus repetidas amenazas comerciales. En sus primeras horas en la Casa Blanca, Donald Trump ha eludido cualquier mención expresa a los aranceles con los que ha amenazado a medio mundo y que amagan con volver a poner del revés el comercio mundial. Ni rastro de ellos, por ahora, en los decretos con los que ha dado por inaugurada su segunda era como presidente.

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