Zoltan Barany

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Articles

China and the Battle for the Global South

Nov 3, 2024 | journalofdemocracy.org | Zoltan Barany |Michael Beckley |Hal Brands |Kevin Sheives

Beijing is bent on curbing democratic freedoms and imposing totalitarianism at home and abroad. Increasingly, the People’s Republic is launching democracy-subversion campaigns masked as development aid in the Global South. Zoltan Barany dissects China’s influence operations in the October issue of the Journal of Democracy, and offers ways for even fragile democracies to combat autocratic influence. The PRC aims to make the world safe for authoritarianism.
China and the Battle for the Global South

Oct 1, 2024 | journalofdemocracy.org | Zoltan Barany

Select your citation format: MLA (Modern Language Association 8th edition)Chicago Manual of Style 16th edition (full note)APA (American Psychological Association 7th edition) Read the full essay here. Notwithstanding the dominant narrative of Beijing’s takeover of fragile democracies, it is possible to resist Chinese autocratization while also reaping benefits from its development aid.
Can Ukraine Regain Its Momentum?

May 2, 2024 | journalofdemocracy.org | Zoltan Barany

Billions in much-needed American military aid are now headed for Ukraine. Without such “concentrated, large-scale, and timely assistance from the West,” Zoltan Barany concluded on the second anniversary of the war, Ukraine cannot win. Russia holds overwhelming strategic advantages in manpower and ammunition. Could the aid package reverse the course of this war of attrition and help Ukraine regain its momentum?
The War in Ukraine Two Years On

Feb 22, 2024 | journalofdemocracy.org | Zoltan Barany |Robert Person |Michael A. McFaul |Kathryn Stoner

Two years ago, Vladimir Putin launched an unprovoked full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Hundreds of thousands have been wounded or killed in this war of attrition. In the Journal of Democracy’s latest online exclusive, Zoltan Barany reflects on what has changed since last year, and on how democracies and autocracies wage war differently. As the war enters its third year, Ukrainian arsenals are drained and allied support is flagging.
Why Ukraine Is Starting to Lose

Feb 22, 2024 | journalofdemocracy.org | Zoltan Barany |Kathryn Stoner |Robert Person |Michael A. McFaul

Putin doesn’t care how many of his troops die. He is looking to win a war of attrition. On the second anniversary of Russia’s invasion, Ukraine needs the West’s help—and it needs it now. By Zoltan BaranyFebruary 2024The second anniversary of Russia’s 24 February 2022 invasion finds Ukraine in a precarious position. Its much-anticipated summer 2023 counteroffensive failed. Quarrels over strategy have riven its political and military elites.
What the West Still Gets Wrong About Russia’s Military

Sep 8, 2023 | foreignaffairs.com | Zoltan Barany |Manjari Chatterjee Miller

In the spring of 2022, as the West watched Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine unfold, one of the greatest surprises was what it revealed about Russian military strength. When the assault began, many Western leaders and analysts assumed that Ukraine would be quickly overpowered by Russia’s vast army, powerful air force, and deep reserves of major weaponry.
What the West Still Gets Wrong About Russia’s Military - Tribune Content Agency (September 6, 2023)

Sep 6, 2023 | tribunecontentagency.com | Zoltan Barany

In the spring of 2022, as the West watched Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine unfold, one of the greatest surprises was what it revealed about Russian military strength. When the assault began, many Western leaders and analysts assumed that Ukraine would be quickly overpowered by Russia’s vast army, powerful air force, and deep […]To purchase full-length Foreign Affairs articles, please email Tribune Content Agency at [email protected]
Putin Survived the Rebellion. Will He Survive What Comes Next?

Jun 25, 2023 | journalofdemocracy.org | Kathryn Stoner |Zoltan Barany |Robert Person |Timothy J. Colton

Vladimir Putin just survived the most serious threat to his more than two decades of autocratic rule. Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of the outfit of mercenaries and criminals known as the Wagner Group, may have stopped his advance on Moscow and ended his mutiny, but he has left Russia’s autocrat appearing weaker and more humiliated before the world—and the Russian people—than ever before.
Putin Just Learned Why You Don’t Trust Mercenaries

Jun 6, 2023 | journalofdemocracy.org | Zoltan Barany

The Russian autocrat forgot an age-old truth about working with common criminals and soldiers for hire. By Zoltan BaranyJune 2023A wonderful gift for Ukraine. My first thought upon reading the news that Yevgeny Prigozhin, leader of the Wagner Group, had called for an armed rebellion was that this serious rupture within the Russian security establishment—something not seen since the days of the 1917–22 Civil War—was a terrific gift to Ukraine and President Volodymyr Zelensky.