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This week Tory fortunes became a numbers game, and the worst is unlucky fourteen

3 days ago | conservativehome.com | Giles Dilnot

Fourteen. That’s the number currently guaranteed to furrow a Tory MP’s brow. Right now hat’s not hard to do. Ask them how things are going. Honestly, and at the risk of the glee it inspires in our opponents, the Parliamentary Conservative party is not in a good place, being both febrile and jittery. And numbers are a major reason for that. 14 per cent in a poll would signify near electoral wipe out.
Where is Keir Starmer’s moral courage?

4 days ago | conservativehome.com | Tali Fraser

Moral courage is a quality seemingly so incredible in Westminster as feathers on an eel. Even so, when the United Kingdom’s close ally, someone we constantly and quite desperately refer to as having a ‘special relationship’ with, goes into bat against Iran – supporting Israel, the only democracy in the Middle East – and instead of proclaiming support, the UK does almost everything to disavow their actions: something has gone wrong.
Farage is a master political salesman - but can he sell voters on a flat tax for non-doms?

5 days ago | conservativehome.com | Henry Hill

Nigel Farage has a new policy on non-doms. It seems, on the face of it, quite clever. Non-doms are a political problem. They’re rich, at a point when this country has fewer rich people than most voters probably think; and they’re almost definitionally mobile, which makes bleeding them white via a wealth tax tricky.
We all have a right to protest but something's gone rotten at the heart of recent protests

6 days ago | conservativehome.com | Giles Dilnot

I’ve decided I might go on a protest march. I want to rally a few hundred people – we’ll describe it as half a million to the media – to protest about protests. Because, as much as supporting the right to protest is brandished as proof of an open democratic society, that Governments are usually big enough to accept that some people get angry with them, and accepting, in my opinion, marching has never achieved anything very much – something has gone very rotten within the ‘protest’ movement.
This cannot be Parliament at its best

1 week ago | conservativehome.com | Tali Fraser

Later today there will be a life changing, potentially life-ending, vote in the House of Commons. Kim Leadbeater’s Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill, otherwise known as assisted suicide, is getting its third and final reading. If it passes, it moves up to the Lords. This seems to have created a problem in itself. A Bill dogged by a myriad of issues, some MPs seem to want to abscond their responsibility and, despite concerns on the detail, vote it through for the Lords to sort it out later on.
Sophie Corcoran: Reform is failing in the same way the Tories did

1 week ago | conservativehome.com | Sophie Corcoran

Sophie Corcoran is a political commentator. When I left the Conservative Party, it wasn’t on a whim. Like many others, I was disillusioned. The Tories had drifted too far from the values they once upheld: personal responsibility, economic discipline, and competence. Reform UK seemed to offer something better; a principled alternative rooted in common-sense conservatism.
A tale of two polls, and two parties

1 week ago | conservativehome.com | Henry Hill

In 2020, a year on from the 2019 general election, YouGov had Labour’s net favourability at -15. The Opposition was not in a good place; the Hartlepool by-election, after which Sir Keir Starmer reportedly considered resigning after the Conservatives won it on a 23-point swing, lay in the future. Yet they were at least still nine points ahead of the Tories, whose own net favourability at the same point was -24, and their score wasn’t so far underwater as all that – at least compared to today.
The Tories need to take a gamble. All bets on the younger generation, less on the older.

1 week ago | conservativehome.com | Giles Dilnot

It was Disraeli who said, “there’s no gambling like politics” and he knew a thing or two about redefining the Tory party. Whilst Labour have taken a gamble on the economy, and Reform have gambled on going all the way alone – and they might – the Tories have a gamble in front of them that I really don’t know if they’ll make – but they should take it. Obviously, with any gamble you can win, or you can lose. The Prime Minister would have been well advised to note the same is true of selling “change”.
Daniel Hannan: The big difference between 2016 and 1975? Politicians with a sense of perspective

1 week ago | conservativehome.com | Daniel Hannan

Lord Hannan of Kingsclere was a Conservative MEP from 1999 to 2020 and is now President of the Institute for Free Trade. A curious thing about politics in the 1970s was how calm it was. The country was collapsing: a three-day week, prices and incomes policies, endless strikes, power cuts. The Cold War was going badly, and many feared that the Labour Left was a Soviet fifth column. The National Front was making its ugly presence felt.
Why was it left so long to look for the full grooming gangs data?

1 week ago | conservativehome.com | Tali Fraser

Government, successive governments, have fallen far short when it comes to defending and protecting young, white, working-class girls, groomed and targeted for the sexual exploitation of men from Asian or Pakistani backgrounds. It has been a disgusting derogation of responsibilities – and, without swift action, government may fall short yet again. “Each investigation will call witnesses to give evidence and will require records to be submitted.