FocusEconomics

FocusEconomics is a top source for economic insights and predictions covering 127 countries across Africa, Asia, Europe, and the Americas. They also offer price forecasts for 33 major commodities. This company benefits from a wide-ranging network of analysts around the world.

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What could Trump’s election victory mean for Latin America?

Nov 11, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Miriam C. Dowd

Leer en EspañolTougher trade policy: Trump has floated the idea of a 10.0–20.0% baseline tariff on all imports. If realized, this would thump the more U.S.-dependent Latin American economies—particularly Mexico and Central America. In addition, Trump is likely to attempt to renegotiate the USMCA trade agreement when it comes up for review in 2026. This could leave Mexico—one of the three signatories to the deal along with Canada and the U.S.—worse off.
2024 U.S. Elections: The Economic Impact under Harris vs Trump

Oct 31, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Miriam C. Dowd

The upcoming U.S. presidential elections on 5 November could mark a significant change in both the domestic and international economy, with current vice president Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump offering wildly contrasting policy proposals. In a mid-October survey, we asked 17 of our expert analysts what their views are on the economy under Harris vs Trump. Here are their answers.
What's in Store for the Oil and Gas Markets in Q4?

Oct 30, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Matt Cunningham |Miriam C. Dowd

Leer en EspañolCrude prices have whipsawed in recent months, rising and falling by over USD 10 per barrel in just a few weeks. In the gas market, trader activity has been similarly frenetic. In our latest insight piece, we ask our energy economist Matthew Cunningham about the latest trends blowing the oil- and gas-market weathervanes. The Oil MarketSimply put, the decline in Q3 was because oil investors lost faith in OPEC+’s ability to marshal the market.
Top 20 Poorest Countries in the World in 2025

Oct 22, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Miriam C. Dowd

Leer en EspañolSub-Saharan Africa continues to dominate the list of poorest countries: When looking at our Consensus Forecasts for the economies with the lowest GDP per capita (in U.S. dollars, current market prices) in 2025, one thing jumps out: 19 of the 20 poorest are from Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The only non-African nation in the top 20 is the conflict-riven, internationally isolated country of Afghanistan.
Global Economic Prospects Report 2025

Oct 7, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Miriam C. Dowd

GDP Predictions for 2025Our Consensus is for the global growth to slow slightly to 2.8% in 2025 from 2.9% in 2024. This would be the worst reading since 2020, at the height of the global pandemic. The slowdown in the world economy will chiefly be due to softer expansions in the U.S. and China, which together account for around half of global output at current USD prices.
What is a Consensus Forecast?

Aug 29, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Miriam C. Dowd

Leer en EspañolConsensus Forecasts are our bread and butter here at FocusEconomics, and lie at the heart of our entire product offering, be that PDFs, our online platform, or data solutions. Our entire teamworks with them on a daily basis. But what exactly are Consensus Forecasts? Read on to find out. How are Consensus Forecasts calculated? We collect forecasts from hundreds of institutions on an ongoing basis, including most of the world’s key banks, public agencies and private consulting firms.
Stock markets took a tumble recently: Is there reason to be worried?

Aug 11, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Miriam C. Dowd

Leer en EspañolStock market correction: From Wednesday 31 July to Monday 5 August, the S&P 500—the primary U.S. stock index—fell by around 6%. The selloff was driven by a , which showed a slump in payroll gains and a rise in unemployment. This fed into other warnings signs such as rising delinquency rates on car loans and credit cards, fanning fears of a slowdown—and even outright recession—in the United States.
East & South Asia: Our analysts’ outlook for the emerging region

Aug 2, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Miriam C. Dowd

China’s slowdown: In contrast, China—which in past decades has often been the region’s fastest-growing economy—will see annual GDP growth slow to below 4% in the coming years according to our analysts. Rising trade frictions with the West, population aging and decline, and less room for catch-up growth will put downward pressure on economic activity. Middling performances in the remaining countries: Taiwan and Korea are expected to see GDP growth average slightly above 2.5% in the coming years.
What are Trump’s economic plans?

Jul 27, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Miriam C. Dowd

Since Joe Biden bowed out of the presidential campaign in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris on 22 July, polls have shown a narrowing of the gap in voting intentions between Harris and Donald Trump. However, Trump still has a strong chance of clinching the presidency in the November elections. So what are Trump’s economic plans, and what could they mean for the economy of the U.S. and the world at large?
What is the long-term economic outlook for the BRICS?

Jul 22, 2024 | focus-economics.com | Miriam C. Dowd

Leer en EspañolIn 2024, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE joined the BRICS. As a result, the bloc now makes up nearly a third of the world’s GDP at market prices in USD. To dive deeper into the long-term outlook of the bloc as a whole and of each individual country, you can download our latest special report, which includes easy-to-read summaries and graphs of our key Consensus Forecasts up to 2030.