S&P Global Market Intelligence

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Investors price in higher risk for investment-grade credit amid market turmoil

2 weeks ago | spglobal.com | Nick Lazzaro

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent speaks April 23 during the Institute of International Finance Global Outlook Forum at the Willard InterContinental Washington in Washington, DC. Source: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images News via Getty Images. Investors are demanding higher returns for parking their money in investment-grade US corporate debt amid a broader reassessment of market risk stemming from changes to tariff policy that roiled financial markets this month.
Institutional, retail investors shed $27B in US stocks in early April sell-off

4 weeks ago | spglobal.com | Nick Lazzaro

Institutional and retail investors offloaded a combined net of $27 billion in US stocks in early April — much of which was bought by hedge funds, index funds and exchange-traded funds — as financial markets whipsawed after the US introduced a slate of new tariffs but subsequently delayed their enforcement for 90 days.
Lexus vs. German Brands: How History Shapes Luxury Car Buyers | S&P Global

4 weeks ago | spglobal.com

Despite similar sales volumes between Lexus, BMW and Mercedes, the customer profiles of these luxury car buyers are not as closely aligned as one might assume.
Auto Tariffs Lead to Major Forecast Downgrades | S&P Global

4 weeks ago | spglobal.com

The impact of automotive tariffs, in combination with the 10% universal tariff, has led to one of the largest single-month forecast changes we’ve ever made.
US consumer discretionary stocks face challenging outlook as tariffs hit

1 month ago | spglobal.com | Nick Lazzaro

The share price increase for O'Reilly Auto Parts, a US automotive parts retailer and service provider, has been among the highest this year in the S&P 500's consumer discretionary sector. Automotive parts retailers make up a small group of S&P 500 consumer discretionary companies whose stocks have weathered an overall downturn in the sector this year. Source: Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images.
US Auto Tariffs: Impact on Industry Now More Clear | S&P Global

1 month ago | spglobal.com

US auto tariffs could impact as much as 45% of light-duty vehicles sold in the US. About 23% of that 45% were imported from outside of North America.
US tariff-induced global stock impact to vary based on rates, negotiations

1 month ago | spglobal.com | Nick Lazzaro

US President Donald Trump holds a chart showing duty rates while announcing new "reciprocal" tariffs during an event at the White House on April 2. The tariff announcement triggered a global stock sell-off the following day.
March 2025 US auto sales potentially ride one last wave | S&P Global

1 month ago | spglobal.com

S&P Global Mobility projects that March 2025 US auto sales will crest over 1.45 million units, as consumers and automakers try to get ahead of tariffs.
Economic Research: Economic Outlook Canada Q2 2025: Trade Tensions Disrupt Growth Improvement | S&P Global Ratings

1 month ago | spglobal.com

The Canadian economy was improving before the escalation in U.S.-Canada trade tensions. Economic activity and labor market seemed to be getting better in the second half of last year and January 2025 to raise likelihood of the Bank of Canada to pause its rate-cutting cycle. Real GDP grew at 2.6% annualized during the fourth quarter, following a 2.2% growth in the third. Full-year GDP growth was 1.5%, not different than in 2023 but with an encouraging quarterly profile--one of increasing growth momentum (opposite of 2023). Households led the way with the growth surprise. Business outlays also showed improvement, together with the unemployment rate stabilizing and then dropping to 6.6% in February from its 6.9% peak in November. February employment gains
Economic Outlook U.S. Q2 2025: Losing Steam Amid Shifting Policies | S&P Global Ratings

1 month ago | spglobal.com

The sequencing of policies from President Donald Trump's administration could mean slowing growth for the U.S. economy before any potential positives from promised deregulations and tax cuts. The front-loading of regressive policies--higher tariffs and federal workforce layoffs--are disrupting growth earlier than we previously projected. As a result, S&P Global Ratings forecasts real GDP growth will cool to 1.9% in 2025 and 2026, down from 2.9% in 2023 and 2.8% in 2024, and average roughly 2.0% per year thereafter. At first glance, our growth forecast of 1.9% for 2025 on an annual average basis suggests little change in conditions from our November update. However, on a fourth-quarter over fourth-quarter basis, we have shaved real GDP growth by approximately 40 basis points