Watching America

2 weeks ago | watchingamerica.com | Laurence Bouvard

Europe needs to avoid a protectionist response, as this will only exacerbate tensions rather than ease them. Above all, it is fundamental to maintain an open, rules-based market system to sustain growth in the long term. The amount of European exports to the United States, which seems to be one of Donald Trump’s obsessions, could be reduced in various ways.

2 months ago | watchingamerica.com | Laurence Bouvard

The war in Ukraine and economic reform are two sides of the same coin — and the U.S. needs to be dealt with. There is opportunity in every crisis, whether it involves war or tariffs. However, major policy choices are needed at major historical turning points. Donald Trump has subjected Europe to an “electroshock,” as Emmanuel Macron called it, over Ukraine and trade barriers and has put Europe on the defensive. However, it does not necessarily have to be that way.

Jan 7, 2025 | watchingamerica.com | Matthew McKay

There are various analyses and predictions about whether the Chinese Communist Party will launch a war in the Taiwan Strait. Some say it’ll happen in 2025, others say 2027, and still others say 2035. In this writer’s view, it is unlikely to see war break out with Taiwan in 2025, mainly because the critical juncture for war has not yet arrived.

Dec 5, 2024 | watchingamerica.com | Matthew McKay

This Nov. 22, the city of Zhongshan in Guangdong province, China, held two events along the theme of “Opportunities and Challenges for Cross-Strait Relations under the New Situation:” The 40th anniversary of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences’ Institute of Taiwan Studies and the 10th Cross-Strait Think Tank Academic Forum.

Nov 22, 2024 | watchingamerica.com | Matthew McKay

The Policy Logic of Restricting Artificial Intelligence Investment in ChinaUnder the general trend of expanding national security regulations mentioned in the previous piece, U.S. lawmakers are increasingly concerned about the potential impact investing in China could have on their economy and national security, and proposals to establish a foreign investment review mechanism are receiving growing bipartisan support.